Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Fénix		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	4	3	1.85
	4.05	3.05	1.92	Watch
	3.99	3.05	1.91
				Watch
	4.2	2.9	1.91
	4.18	3.13	1.91
	3	3.05	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)	1.97 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fénix
23.4%

Draw
30.1%

Real Pilar
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

29.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

29%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fénix's form might have worsened.

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Pilar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fénix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Pilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fénix - Real Pilar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Pilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra V. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Ferro G. 6. Acosta M. 3. Rodriguez J. 19. Anriquez D. 5. Diaz F. 10. Perez P. 11. Silva D. 7. Perez F. 9. Vivas J.	1. Cano M. (G) 4. Diaz G. 2. Otermin A. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Franco E. 8. Smith I. 5. Rios N. 10. Ochoa J. 11. Crocco M. 7. Martin B. 9. Vidal N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Smith I. ⚽,
52', Ferro G. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Ochoa J. ⚽,
63', Silva D. ↓, Mayor J. ↑,
63', Vivas J. ↓, Rizzo F. ↑,
63', Arreguin E. ↓, Florentin C. ↑,
71', Ochoa J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
80', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
81', Martin B. ↓, Govi G. ↑,
81', Crocco M. ↓, Barreiro A. ↑,
86', Vidal N. ↓, Higuain J. ↑,
86', Smith I. ↓, Escurra N. ↑,
86', 🟨,
87', Acosta M. 🟥,

Preview

Fénix is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Real Pilar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Pilar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
29.06.25	UAI Urquiza - Fénix	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Sportivo Italiano - Fénix	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Excursionistas - Fénix	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Fénix - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLTLT
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
28.06.25	Real Pilar - Deportivo Laferrere	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Real Pilar - Liniers	1:3 ✺
15.06.25	Comunicaciones - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Real Pilar - Deportivo Armenio	1:0 ✺
30.05.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
15.02.25	Real Pilar - Fénix	5:1

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