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Current Win Probability
FA Šiauliai 7.8%
Draw 14.1%
Kauno Žalgiris 78.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
14.4%
20.7%
64.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.9%
20.1%
66.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FA Šiauliai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FA Šiauliai's form might have worsened.
Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kauno Žalgiris's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FA Šiauliai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
FA Šiauliai - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sivickas V. (G) 4. Dapkus M. (C) 23. Benny Silva 50. Bierontas E. 33. Vukovic L. 6. Hasanovic D. 24. Naah D. 8. Baftalovskyi A. 13. Romanovskij D. 66. Valuckas A. 19. Ikaunieks D.
55. Svedkauskas T. (G) 62. Kastrati L. II. 3. Tolordava A. 23. Hernandez A. 33. Konatar M. 7. Benchaib A. 20. Kalik A. 14. Slivka V. 24. Burba M. 27. Debeljuh G. 9. Krekovic L.
Substitutes
61. Baliutavicius G. (G) 29. Dovydaitis D. 51. Gestautas G. 41. Gustas K. 27. Jarasius D. 5. Kersys K. 21. Mandic M. 32. Micevicius G. 30. Vaitiekaitis U. 14. Zebrauskas K.
32. Baldassarra F. 11. Cernych F. 17. Fiolic I. 8. Karashima Y. 15. Leo Ribeiro 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 45. Moutachy J. 70. Ourega F. 19. Renan Oliveira 10. Sirgedas G.
Coaches
Lastauskas D.
Sopic Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Hasanovic D. 🟨,
40', Burba M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Burba M. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai won 0.
FA Šiauliai has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Kauno Žalgiris is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Kauno Žalgiris may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Kauno Žalgiris enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, FA Šiauliai has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:38 (averaging 0.9:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for FA Šiauliai against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 11:17 goals (averaging 1.1:1.7 per game).
Lithuania
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Sivickas V. (G) 
Benny Silva 
Vukovic L. 
Hasanovic D. 
Naah D. 
Baftalovskyi A. 
Ikaunieks D. 
Kastrati L. II. 
Tolordava A. 
Hernandez A. 
Benchaib A. 
Kalik A. 
Debeljuh G. 
Baldassarra F. 
Karashima Y. 
Leo Ribeiro 
Moutachy J. 
Ourega F. 
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