Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Predio de FADEP (Mendoza)


	FADEP		Círculo Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.10	5.50
	1.62	3.05	5.7
	1.78	2.93	4.83
	1.98	2.75	4.82	Watch
	1.75	2.9	4.75
	1.72	2.97	5.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.42)	2.95 ↓ (3.8)	5.18 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FADEP
51.9%

Draw
30.7%

Círculo Deportivo
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FADEP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FADEP's form might have worsened.

Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FADEP than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FADEP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Círculo Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FADEP - Círculo Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aracena C. (G) 4. Ali N. 2. Iribarren N. 8. Kalinski E. 9. Klusener G. 5. Lopez L. R. 3. Perez F. 7. Perez I. 11. Persia M. 6. Sosa B. 10. Zabaleta B.	1. Fernandez P. (G) 10. Banchio R. 7. Bassani J. 3. Buscaglia S. 15. Campagnaro M. 8. Gomez L. 5. Grahl F. 9. Iriberri I. 2. Martinez J. 4. Rojas F. 6. Vilchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Buscaglia S. (Own goal),
83', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

FADEP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, FADEP is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fundación Amigos Por El Deporte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - FADEP	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	FADEP - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - FADEP	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	FADEP - Cipolletti	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - FADEP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTWTT
- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.07.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Círculo Deportivo - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Alvarado - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLTL

FADEP - Círculo Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide