Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN


	FBC Melgar		Aurora

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	12	Watch
	1.25	5.75	11
	1.22	6	13	Watch
	1.26	6	12.5
	1.25	5.75	12.43
	1.18	5.8	12	Watch
	1.19	6.55	14.6	Watch
	1.23	5.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.39)	5.97 ↑ (4.49)	12.32 ↑ (7.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
76.6%

Draw
15.7%

Aurora
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20.7%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

FBC Melgar - Aurora Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Caceda C. (G) 4. Ramos E. 2. Galeano L. 6. Gonzalez L. 3. Diarte L. 7. Bordacahar C. 28. Arias A. 8. Orzan H. 10. Martinez T. 9. Cuesta B. (C) 90. Lavandeira Hernandez P.	99. Akologo D. (G) 29. Amarilla N. 3. Barboza L. (C) 24. Robles D. 21. Ballivian R. 6. Sejas C. 8. Torrico D. 10. Torrico J. 7. Blanco O. 18. Reinoso J. 50. Alaniz M.
Substitutes
22. Aguinaga A. 17. Archimbaud J. 27. Bernaola G. 11. Blando B. 14. Cavero S. 1. Farro R. (G) 33. Lazo M. 18. Portugal B. 19. Reyna P. 23. Rodriguez Carreno D. A. 20. Sandoval K. 24. Tandazo W.	11. Bustamante A. 2. Cabral M. 12. Cardenas L. (G) 1. Cousillas A. (G) 31. Michelli E. 20. Sanchez A. 77. Serginho 32. Silvero M. 26. Torrico D. 4. Troncoso Caiti E. 28. Vaca O. 23. Vallejos Y.
Coaches
de Muner P.	Soria M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Melgar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aurora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Melgar is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
10.02.24	FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.02.24	Aurora - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - FBC Melgar	3:2 ✺
26.01.24	FBC Melgar - Cusco	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.24	FBC Melgar - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLT
- Club Aurora
Copa Libertadores
07.02.24	Aurora - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
14.12.23	Aurora - Bolívar	1:0 ✺
11.12.23	Bolívar - Aurora	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Aurora - Always Ready	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.12.23	Aurora - Vaca Díez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
07.02.24	Aurora - FBC Melgar	1:0

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