Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ambrosio Maco Arroyo (Piura)

Referee: Mendez R. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Grau		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.20	2.40	Watch
	2.70	2.95	2.40
	2.70	3.10	2.75	Watch
	2.84	3.29	2.50
	2.76	2.92	2.76	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.40
	2.85	3.25	2.44	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.15)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.51 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
33.5%

Draw
29.6%

FBC Melgar
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.5%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (C) 8. Vasquez C. 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 66. de la Cruz A. 5. Guarderas R. 77. Da Luz M. 10. de la Cruz P. 7. Barreto D. 99. Fernandez A.	21. Cabezudo J. (G) 33. Lazo M. 23. Escobar J. 3. Gonzalez L. 27. Cabanillas N. 25. Minda K. 24. Tandazo W. 7. Bordacahar C. 10. Quagliata N. 11. Vidales J. 9. Cuesta B. (C)
Substitutes
96. Benites Vargas L. E. 33. Calderon A. (G) 15. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 13. Oncoy F. 6. Rodas E. 9. Ruidiaz R. 24. Ruidiaz Y. 3. Tapia I. 20. Vasquez A.	12. Caceda C. (G) 16. Caceres J. 5. Deneumostier A. 8. Guzman L. 90. Jesus Alcantar 66. Orzan H. 26. Portillo M. 77. Zanelatto F. 45. Zegarra M.
Coaches
Ameli G.	Rondelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', de la Cruz A. ↓, Tapia I. ↑,
38', Acevedo L. ↓, Oncoy F. ↑,
43', Escobar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez A. ↓, Ruidiaz R. ↑,
59', Da Luz M. 🟨,
62', Bordacahar C. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
66', Da Luz M. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
66', de la Cruz P. ↓, Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Barreto D. ⚽,
71', Cabanillas N. ↓, Zegarra M. ↑,
71', Minda K. ↓, Orzan H. ↑,
72', Quagliata N. ↓, Zanelatto F. ↑,
80', Lazo M. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
88', Ameli G. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	FBC Melgar	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
10	Grau	11	5	2	4	14:13	1	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
26.08.26	Atlético Grau - Sport Boys	2:3 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
21.08.26	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Juan Pablo II College - Atlético Grau	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Grau - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTL
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
23.08.26	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Los Chankas - FBC Melgar	0:3 ✺
09.08.26	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	2:4 ✺
02.08.26	Moquegua - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
15.03.26	FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau	0:0
05.10.25	Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar	0:0
18.05.25	FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau	1:1
23.09.24	FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau	0:0
21.04.24	Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar	1:2
07.07.23	FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau	3:0
04.02.23	Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar	Grau awarded

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