Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play
Vietnam	TV 360


	Cusco		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.30	3.25
	1.95	3.45	3.65	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.69
	1.94	3.6	3.71	Watch
	1.87	3.4	3.6
	1.97	3.44	3.63	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
47.6%

Draw
26.7%

FBC Melgar
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Cusco - FBC Melgar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 3. Lagos R. 55. Montano C. 88. Soto D. 26. Silva N. 10. Colman I. (C) 22. Colitto L. 9. Callejo F.	21. Cabezudo J. (G) 33. Lazo M. 23. Escobar J. 3. Gonzalez L. 27. Cabanillas N. 25. Minda K. 26. Portillo M. 7. Bordacahar C. 10. Quagliata N. 11. Vidales J. 9. Cuesta B. (C)
Substitutes
14. Diez C. 2. Gamarra C. 77. Herrera Joel 7. Manzaneda J. 99. Miguel Silveira 24. Ruidias M. 11. Tevez J. 16. Valenzuela O. 13. Vidal A. (G)	12. Caceda C. (G) 16. Caceres J. 80. D'Arrigo J. 5. Deneumostier A. 8. Guzman L. 90. Jesus Alcantar 66. Orzan H. 77. Zanelatto F. 45. Zegarra M.
Coaches
Rabanal J.	Rondelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Lagos R. 🟨,
38', Escobar J. 🟨,
38', Fuentes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Cuesta B. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
61', Vidales J. 🟨,
62', Portillo M. ↓, Orzan H. ↑,
62', Quagliata N. ↓, Zegarra M. ↑,
62', Colitto L. ↓, Miguel Silveira ↑,
63', Silva N. ↓, Manzaneda J. ↑,
73', Lagos R. ↓, Ruidias M. ↑,
73', Soto D. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
76', Vidales J. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
76', Cabanillas N. ↓, Jesus Alcantar ↑,
83', Montano C. ↓, Valenzuela O. ↑,
84', Cuesta B. ↓, Deneumostier A. ↑,
86', Valenzuela O. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cusco might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Cusco: Aucca M. (Knee Injury) Quillahuaman S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cusco: Choi G. (Injury) Custodio A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FBC Melgar	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
10	Cusco	11	6	0	5	20:16	4	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
05.09.26	Cusco - Moquegua	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Cusco - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
06.09.26	FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma	3:0 ✺
01.09.26	Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Los Chankas - FBC Melgar	0:3 ✺
09.08.26	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
04.04.26	FBC Melgar - Cusco	1:3
27.07.25	FBC Melgar - Cusco	0:2
14.02.25	Cusco - FBC Melgar	0:1
14.07.24	Cusco - FBC Melgar	0:3
26.01.24	FBC Melgar - Cusco	2:3
19.08.23	Cusco - FBC Melgar	1:1
01.04.23	FBC Melgar - Cusco	1:1

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