Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 5

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Referee: Lozano S. (Per)


	FBC Melgar		Unión Comercio

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.5	19	Watch
	1.13	7.25	13
	1.14	8	17	Watch
	1.12	7.2	16.5
	1.17	7.39	15.05
	1.1	7	15
	1.14	7.6	16	Watch
	1.15	7	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.25)	7.24 ↑ (5.34)	15.82 ↑ (10.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
81.3%

Draw
12.8%

Unión Comercio
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

17.3%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.

Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

FBC Melgar - Unión Comercio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Caceda C. (G) 4. Ramos E. 2. Galeano L. 6. Gonzalez L. 14. Cavero S. 8. Orzan H. 28. Arias A. 20. Sandoval K. 7. Bordacahar C. 10. Martinez T. 9. Cuesta B. (C)	1. Barrios I. (G) 17. Vargas D. 20. Ramirez C. 3. Paredes T. (C) 23. Alvarez J. 15. Jimenez O. 5. Sanchez K. 14. Regalado I. 19. Uribe C. 13. Angulo Grueso B. A. 9. de Jesus M.
Substitutes
17. Archimbaud J. 11. Blando B. 26. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 16. Caceres J. 1. Farro R. (G) 90. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 33. Lazo M. 19. Reyna P. 24. Tandazo W.	12. Diaz W. (G) 11. Guerrero G. 10. Hernan Perez 28. Labrin V. 25. Millan D. 4. Perez V. 2. Salas J. 8. Sandoval V. 27. Trujillo L.
Coaches
de Muner P.	Craviotto N.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melgar won 2.

Melgar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Melgar is certain favorite.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Melgar won 16 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 44-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 29-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
17.02.24	Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.02.24	FBC Melgar - Aurora	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
10.02.24	FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.02.24	Aurora - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - FBC Melgar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTWLL
- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 1
18.02.24	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	1:3 ✺
12.02.24	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Unión Comercio - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:2 ✺
29.01.24	Los Chankas - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
24.09.23	FBC Melgar - Unión Comercio	3:1
08.05.23	Unión Comercio - FBC Melgar	1:1
28.09.19	FBC Melgar - Unión Comercio	1:1
14.04.19	Unión Comercio - FBC Melgar	1:1
05.11.18	FBC Melgar - Unión Comercio	1:0
13.08.18	Unión Comercio - FBC Melgar	0:0
21.04.18	FBC Melgar - Unión Comercio	2:1

Upcoming Matches