Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi de la FAF (Encamp)

Referee: Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	FC Andorra		Almería

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2.01	Watch
	3.3	3.45	2.02	Watch
	3.5	3.63	2.12
	3.39	3.6	2.08
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.46	3.55	2.12	Watch
	3.33	3.4	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.88)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	2.07 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
27.8%

Draw
26.8%

Almería
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

26.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almería's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

FC Andorra - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Andorra will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Almería will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yaakobishvili A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Alonso G. 5. Bombardo Poyato M. 20. Vila M. 10. Alvaro 14. Molina S. (C) 6. Villahermosa D. 9. Nieto M. 11. Lauti 29. Kim M.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 8. Gui Guedes 17. Lopy D. 29. Dzodic S. 11. Arribas S. 19. Soko P. 23. Embarba A.
Substitutes
8. Akman E. 23. Alende D. 7. Calvo A. 21. Cerda J. 18. Domenech M. 16. Jastin G. 24. Le Normand T. 15. Olabarrieta A. 13. Owono J. (G) 2. Petxa A. 22. Uzkudun A.	14. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 32. Fidel Cedillo Segura P. 6. Horta A. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 26. Kounia H. 16. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 36. Perovic M. 2. Puigmal A. 9. Thalys
Coaches
Manso C.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Monte N. 🟨,
38', Rubi 🟨,
44', Bonini F. ↓, Fidel Cedillo Segura P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', Soko P. ↓, Thalys ↑,
63', Gui Guedes ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Arribas S. ⚽, Dzodic S. (A),
74', Lauti ↓, Le Normand T. ↑,
74', Alvaro ↓, Olabarrieta A. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Arribas S. ⚽,
79', Kim M. ↓, Jastin G. ↑,
79', Bombardo Poyato M. ↓, Akman E. ↑,
86', Jastin G. 🟨,
88', Embarba A. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
90+2', Luna M. 🟨,
90+2', Vila M. ↓, Uzkudun A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Nieto M. ⚽, Akman E. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Andorra has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Almería has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almería may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Andorra has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Andorra: Merquelanz M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Melamed N. (Muscle Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

FC Andorra - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.55%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	FC Andorra - Castellón	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Albacete Balompié - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Huesca - FC Andorra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLLT
- UD Almería
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Eldense - Almería	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Almería - Huesca	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Ceuta - Almería	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Leganés - Almería	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Almería - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLWW

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