Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 28

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Granada		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.22	2.98	3.4	Watch
	2.33	3.05	3.63
	2.23	3.01	3.68	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25
	2.23	3.04	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.16)	3.03 ↓ (3.33)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
42.1%

Draw
31%

Málaga
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	36.8%	5.3%

Granada - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (C) 28. Naasei O. 5. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 22. Diallo B. 8. Aleman P. 41. Gonzalez I. 11. Arnaiz J. M. 7. Sola A. 9. Petit G. 40. Diocou B.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 31. Rafita 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 10. Larrubia D. 12. Dotor C. 24. Lobete J. 9. Chupe
Substitutes
13. Astralaga A. (G) 17. Diaby B. 23. Gagnidze L. 3. Hormigo D. 18. Lemos A. 19. Pascual J. 26. Rodelas S. 14. Trigueros M. 37. Zinebi R.	7. Abaida H. 25. Dorrio J. 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 11. Munoz J. 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Rojo Martin J.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Puga C. 🟨,
27', Lama M. 🟨,
29', Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
34', Aleman P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Aleman P. ↓, Hormigo D. ↑,
63', Lobete J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
67', Petit G. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
67', Diocou B. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
67', Naasei O. ↓, Lemos A. ↑,
77', Chupe ↓, Nino A. ↑,
77', Merino I. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
77', Dotor C. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
80', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
81', Diallo B. 🟨,
86', 0 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽,
89', Rafita 🟨,
90', Larrubia D. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granada won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Málaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Granada might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Granada: Casadesus P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Granada won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Granada won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 0.9:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Granada CF	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Granada - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
20.02.26	Ceuta - Granada	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Granada - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
06.02.26	Leganés - Granada	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Granada - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cádiz - Granada	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
22.02.26	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Real Sociedad B - Málaga	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Málaga - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Mirandés - Málaga	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Málaga - Burgos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.09.25	Málaga - Granada	2:2
03.05.25	Málaga - Granada	1:0
20.09.24	Granada - Málaga	2:2
27.02.23	Granada - Málaga	1:0
08.12.22	Málaga - Granada	1:1
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Málaga - Granada	1:1
06.08.21	Granada - Málaga	3:1

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