Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 31

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: JP Financial Estadio (Cadiz)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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South-america	DGO Latin America
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Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Cádiz		Málaga

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.25
	2.98	3.15	2.35	Watch
	3.16	3.25	2.46
	3.25	3.27	2.28	Watch
	3	3	2.38
	3.06	3.16	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.58)	3.16 ↓ (3.28)	2.36 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
30.7%

Draw
29.6%

Málaga
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Cádiz - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Málaga will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gil D. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 2. Moreno J. 6. Recio I. 33. Pereira R. 15. Ortuno S. 5. Diakite M. 11. Suso (C) 18. Diarra Y. 16. Cordero A. 23. Pascual A.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 22. Lorenzo D. 11. Munoz J. 12. Dotor C. 9. Chupe
Substitutes
38. Arribas S. 13. Aznar V. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 17. Camara D. 21. Climent M. 19. de la Rosa J. 37. Domina J. 8. Fernandez A. 24. Gonzalez J. 3. Kouame R. 14. Kovacevic B. 9. Marti R.	5. Brasanac D. 25. Dorrio J. 2. Gabilondo J. 14. Garcia V. 17. Jauregi E. 8. Juanpe 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 21. Nino A. 35. Ochoa A. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Sergio	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Chupe ⚽, Dotor C. (A),
33', 0 - 2, Chupe ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cordero A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
46', Diakite M. ↓, Kovacevic B. ↑,
47', 0 - 3, Lorenzo D. ⚽, Sanchez D. (A),
65', Sanchez D. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
66', Munoz J. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
68', Pascual A. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
68', Dotor C. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
76', Suso ↓, Domina J. ↑,
76', Carcelen I. ↓, de la Rosa J. ↑,
79', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
79', Larrubia D. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
80', Domina J. 🟨,
87', Marti R. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 4.

Cádiz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Málaga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Málaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Climent M. (Injury) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Tabatadze I. (Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Galilea E. (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Rafita (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Málaga: Enriquez R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
13.03.26	Mirandés - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Cádiz - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Eibar - Cádiz	3:1 ✺
23.02.26	Cádiz - Real Sociedad B	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Burgos - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLT
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.26	Málaga - Huesca	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	Málaga - Valladolid	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Granada - Málaga	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Real Sociedad B - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.09.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:1
09.03.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:2
12.10.24	Cádiz - Málaga	2:2
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Málaga - Cádiz	0:2
26.08.20	Málaga - Cádiz	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
16.02.20	Cádiz - Málaga	0:1
12.10.19	Málaga - Cádiz	1:2

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