Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: LEAGUES CUP - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday


	FC Dallas		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.6
	1.73	3.75	4.75
	1.72	3.97	5.03
	1.71	3.84	4.7	Watch
	1.63	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (3.6)	3.73 ↑ (3.5)	4.72 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Dallas
55.1%

Draw
25.1%

Mazatlan
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

25.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Dallas's performance.

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mazatlan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-27.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Dallas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+25.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mazatlan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.7%	3.3%	0%

FC Dallas - Mazatlan Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 29 - 96.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 90.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Paes M. (G) 2. Geovane Jesus 17. Nkosi Tafari 3. Martinez J. 29. Junqua S. 20. Velasco A. 5. Quignon F. 12. Lletget S. 77. Kamungo B. 10. Ferreira J. 8. Obrian J.	1. Gutierrez R. (G) 15. Colula B. 5. Almada F. 19. Merolla L. 4. Diaz J. 35. Intriago J. 22. Montano A. 7. Medina A. 23. Flores S. 21. Bello E. 24. Amarilla L.
Substitutes
31. Ansah E. 7. Arriola P. 13. Carrera A. (G) 6. Cerrillo E. 25. Ibeagha S. 9. Jimenez J. 24. Korca A. 1. Maurer J. (G) 16. Ntsabeleng T. 19. Pomykal P. 11. Sealy D. 22. Twumasi E.	208. Arciga R. 195. Betancourt B. (G) 8. Colman Escobar D. J. 13. Gonzalez H. (G) 9. Loba A. 33. Maduena J. 34. Moreno Villegas O. F. 2. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 27. Sansores M. 17. Venegas F. 3. Vidrio N.
Coaches
Estevez N.	Rescalvo I.

Preview

Dallas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mazatlan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dallas is a favorite.

There will not play in Dallas: Jimenez J. (Injury) Scott T. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dallas
CONCACAF League Cup
25.07.23	FC Dallas - Necaxa	3:0 ✺
21.07.23	FC Dallas - Charlotte	2:3 penalties ✺
MLS
15.07.23	Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	2:1 ✺
04.07.23	FC Dallas - DC United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTLL
- Mazatlan FC
CONCACAF League Cup
25.07.23	Mazatlan - Juárez	2:1 penalties ✺
21.07.23	Austin FC - Mazatlan	1:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
14.07.23	Mazatlan - Monterrey	0:3 ✺
09.07.23	UNAM - Mazatlan	0:0 ✺
30.06.23	Mazatlan - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLTT

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