Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)

Referee: Chavez M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Mazatlan		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.95
	3.2	3.45	2.12	Watch
	3.43	3.55	2.2
	3.55	3.5	2.06	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.62	3.44	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (4.28)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	2.08 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazatlan
27.3%

Draw
27.5%

Pachuca
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

26.6%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

25.9%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pachuca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazatlan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pachuca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Mazatlan - Pachuca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Pachuca (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pachuca will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rodriguez R. (G) 21. Santos S. 5. Almada F. (C) 19. Merolla L. 4. Diaz J. 17. Ovalle J. 25. Godinez S. 11. Barcenas Y. 14. Zaleta M. 7. Dudu 15. Rubio B.	25. Moreno C. (C) 14. Sanchez C. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 188. Rodriguez S. 16. Rivera C. 18. Dominguez A. 26. Bautista A. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.
Substitutes
13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 9. Arce B. 202. Ben Rhouma A. 16. Esquivel J. 3. Franco R. 199. Gonzalez I. 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 193. Lopez G. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.	184. Alfaro C. 13. Berlanga J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 8. Guzman V. 267. Hernandez C. 29. Kenedy 21. Lopez R. 5. Pedraza P. 7. Quinones L. 10. Valencia E.
Coaches
Bueno S.	Solari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Sanchez C. 🟨,
23', Santos S. 🟨,
25', Godinez S. 🟨,
40', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Dudu ⚽, Almada F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bautista A. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
46', Idrissi O. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
49', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
56', Rodriguez S. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
56', Dominguez A. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
61', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
62', Ovalle J. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
69', Dudu ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
75', Santos S. 🟨,
79', Rubio B. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
79', Godinez S. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
80', Sanchez C. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1.

Recent form of Mazatlan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pachuca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pachuca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury) Mozo A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C. (Injury) Fabio Gomes (Inactive) Sierra J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pachuca: Montiel E. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15:11	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
22.02.26	Tijuana - Mazatlan	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Mazatlan - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlas - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Mazatlan - Monterrey	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWLLL
- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
20.02.26	Tigres UANL - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Pachuca - Atlas	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Pachuca - Juárez	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Querétaro - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Pachuca - Club América	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:0
08.03.25	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:1
23.08.24	Mazatlan - Pachuca	3:0
27.04.24	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:1
30.06.23	Mazatlan - Pachuca	1:1
16.02.23	Mazatlan - Pachuca	2:3
18.07.22	Pachuca - Mazatlan	1:1

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