Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 4 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Frisco)


	FC Dallas		DC United

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.3	3.35	3
	2.4	3.39	3.17
	2.15	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.33	3.36	3.02	Watch
	2.32	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.24)	3.31 ↓ (3.43)	3.01 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Dallas
40.7%

Draw
28.3%

DC United
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.1%	15.6%	6.2%

FC Dallas - DC United Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). DC United will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 63.8% – 92.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Paes M. (G) 24. Korca A. 25. Ibeagha S. 17. Nkosi Tafari 29. Junqua S. 5. Quignon F. (C) 6. Cerrillo E. 4. Farfan M. 8. Obrian J. 77. Kamungo B. 20. Velasco A.	24. Bono A. (G) 15. Birnbaum S. (C) 3. Williams D. 23. Pines D. 2. Ruan 6. Canouse R. 17. O'Brien L. 7. Santos P. 22. Asad Y. 26. Fletcher K. 11. Fountas T.
Substitutes
27. Endeley H. 12. Lletget S. 1. Maurer J. (G) 21. Mulato J. 32. Norris N. 16. Ntsabeleng T. 19. Pomykal P. 23. Smith C.	12. Dajome C. 8. Durkin C. 4. Hines-Ike B. 9. Hurtado E. 43. Klich M. 1. Miller T. (G) 14. Najar A. 19. Robertha N. 72. Samake G.
Coaches
Estevez N.	Rooney W.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dallas won 4.

Recent matches Dallas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

DC United is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Dallas: Arriola P. (Injury) Jimenez J. (Injury) Scott T. (Knee Injury) Twumasi E. (Injury)

There will not play in DC United: Jeahze M. (Calf Injury) Ku-DiPietro T. (Injury) Rodriguez M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dallas: Martinez J. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dallas won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Dallas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dallas
MLS
01.07.23	FC Dallas - Los Angeles	2:0 ✺
21.06.23	Austin FC - FC Dallas	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Portland Timbers - FC Dallas	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	FC Dallas - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	FC Dallas - Nashville SC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL
- DC United
MLS
01.07.23	Nashville SC - DC United	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	DC United - Cincinnati	3:0 ✺
17.06.23	DC United - Real Salt Lake	1:2 ✺
10.06.23	Atlanta United - DC United	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.06.23	DC United - Necaxa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
04.07.19	FC Dallas - DC United	2:0
13.10.18	DC United - FC Dallas	1:0
04.07.17	FC Dallas - DC United	4:2
26.03.16	DC United - FC Dallas	0:3
18.07.15	FC Dallas - DC United	2:1
26.04.14	DC United - FC Dallas	4:1
11.05.13	FC Dallas - DC United	2:1

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