The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UNAM 74.1%
Draw 16.1%
Mazatlan 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
22.1%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.9%
21.2%
14.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNAM's performance.
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mazatlan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAM that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mazatlan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
UNAM - Mazatlan Predictions
Users Predictions:
UNAM will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 2. Bennevendo P. 45. Vite P. 22. Medina A. 28. Carrasquilla A. 33. Carrillo J. 77. Angulo A. 31. Morales R. 23. Juninho
33. Rodriguez R. (G) 21. Santos S. 5. Almada F. (C) 19. Merolla L. 26. Leyva A. 14. Zaleta M. 11. Barcenas Y. 25. Godinez S. 17. Ovalle J. 7. Dudu 15. Rubio B.
Substitutes
21. Antuna U. 215. Azuaje A. 5. Duarte R. 14. Garza C. 35. Lara P. (G) 24. Leone T. 9. Martinez G. 26. Rico A. 19. Rivas J. 20. Trigos S.
27. Adame G. 13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 9. Arce B. 188. Carrillo L. 90. Fabio Gomes 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 193. Lopez G. 10. Moreno Villegas O. F. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
Coaches
Juarez E.
Bueno S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Morales R. ⚽, Medina A. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Ovalle J. ⚽, Almada F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Navas K. 🟨,
58', Rubio B. 🟨,
60', Juninho ↓, Antuna U. ↑,
60', Bennevendo P. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
60', Carrillo J. ↓, Duarte R. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Antuna U. (A),
73', Medina A. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
74', Rubio B. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
74', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
74', Merolla L. ↓, Adame G. ↑,
82', Barcenas Y. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
82', Ovalle J. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
84', Morales R. ↓, Garza C. ↑,
90+4', Leyva A. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
Recent performances by UNAM have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mazatlan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, UNAM is the clear favorite.
There will not play in UNAM: Macias J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Mazatlan: Diaz J.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.7:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
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Navas K. (C) 
Lopez R. 
Nathan Silva 
Vite P. 
Carrasquilla A. 
Angulo A. 
Morales R. 
Almada F. (C) 
Ovalle J. 
Duarte R. 
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