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Current Win Probability
FC Dallas 45.5%
Draw 25.1%
St. Louis City 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
24.6%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
23.7%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Dallas's form might have worsened.
St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Dallas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
FC Dallas - St. Louis City Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 46.4% – 99%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Dallas (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Collodi M. (G) 25. Ibeagha S. 3. Urhoghide O. 32. Norris N. 18. Moore S. 17. Ramiro (C) 12. Cappis C. 7. Deedson L. 8. Delgado P. 23. Farrington L. 9. Musa P.
1. Burki R. (G) 99. Orozco J. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 6. Wallem C. 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 20. Rafael Santos 11. Becher S. 16. Cordova S. 17. Hartel M.
Substitutes
5. Abubakar L. 6. Binyamin R. 14. Johansson H. 55. Kaick 10. Moreno S. 28. Sarver S. 16. Simmonds N. 40. Sirois J. (G) 21. Valiente J.
77. Jeong S. 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 5. MacNaughton L. 4. Mbacke M. 80. McSorley B. 28. Perez M. 36. Teuchert C. 14. Totland T.
Coaches
Quill E.
Damet Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Cordova S. 🟨,
35', Ramiro ↓, Kaick ↑,
39', Urhoghide O. 🟨,
40', Cappis C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Deedson L. ⚽, Musa P. (A),
58', Collodi M. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Baumgartl T. ⚽, Edelman D. (A),
67', Deedson L. ↓, Johansson H. ↑,
67', Delgado P. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
67', Farrington L. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
76', Cordova S. ↓, Teuchert C. ↑,
76', Orozco J. ↓, MacNaughton L. ↑,
83', Cappis C. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
89', Rafael Santos ↓, Totland T. ↑,
89', Edelman D. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
90+5', Becher S. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
Dallas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
St. Louis City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dallas could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Julio Santos A. A.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dallas: Starnes S.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
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Collodi M. (G) 
Urhoghide O. 
Ramiro (C) 
Deedson L. 
Delgado P. 
Musa P. 
Burki R. (G) 
Baumgartl T. 
Wallem C. 
Cordova S. 
Abubakar L. 
Binyamin R. 
Johansson H. 
Moreno S. 
Simmonds N. 
Sirois J. (G) 
Valiente J. 
Jeong S. 
Mbacke M. 
Damet Y. 
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