Match Info

MLS

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 2
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	San Diego		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.45	5.4	Watch
	1.56	4.64	5.51
	1.54	4.73	5.25	Watch
	1.53	4.2	4.8
	1.59	4.57	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.65)	4.49 ↑ (4.4)	5.32 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Diego
61.1%

Draw
21.1%

St. Louis City
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

21.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Diego - St. Louis City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - San Diego (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: San Diego will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Diego will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Ferree D. (G) 27. Bombino L. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 5. Sargeant K. 20. Godoy A. (C) 6. Tverskov J. 8. Valakari O. 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 90. Pellegrino A.	1. Burki R. (G) 99. Orozco J. 32. Baumgartl T. (C) 21. Polvara D. 24. Edelman D. 8. Durkin C. 28. Perez M. 20. Rafael Santos 77. Jeong S. 11. Becher S. 6. Wallem C.
Substitutes
1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 21. Duke B. 77. Mighten A. 25. Pilcher I. 13. Sisniega P. (G) 17. Soe O. 15. Soma P. 33. Verhoeven O. 14. Zamble B. B.	12. Celio Pompeu 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 5. MacNaughton L. 4. Mbacke M. 80. McSorley B. 36. Teuchert C. 14. Totland T. 15. Yaro J.
Coaches
Varas M.	Damet Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Dreyer A. ⚽, Ingvartsen M. (A), Valakari O. (A2)
45+1', Durkin C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rafael Santos ↓, Totland T. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Ingvartsen M. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A),
59', Perez M. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
59', Jeong S. ↓, Celio Pompeu ↑,
65', Godoy A. ↓, Soma P. ↑,
65', Becher S. ↓, Teuchert C. ↑,
72', Totland T. ↓, MacNaughton L. ↑,
79', Ingvartsen M. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
79', Valakari O. ↓, Duke B. ↑,
89', Duah M. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
89', Pellegrino A. ↓, Zamble B. B. ↑,

Preview

In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.

There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Boateng E. (Lower-Body Injury) Eisner W. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in St. Louis City: Fall F. (Leg Injury) Lowen E. (Personal Reasons) Ostrak T. (Leg Injury) Pearce T. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, San Diego won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego FC
MLS
21.02.26	San Diego - CF Montréal	5:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
10.02.26	UNAM - San Diego	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	San Diego - UNAM	4:1 ✺
MLS
29.11.25	San Diego - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
24.11.25	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- St. Louis City SC
MLS
21.02.26	St. Louis City - Charlotte	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Austin FC - St. Louis City	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
10.05.25	St. Louis City - San Diego	1:2
01.03.25	San Diego - St. Louis City	0:0

Upcoming Matches