Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 33

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Frans Heesen Stadion (Oss)

Referee: Shukrula S. (Ned)


	FC Oss		FC Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.96
	3.4	3.4	1.93
	3.7	3.7	1.88	Watch
	3.4	3.65	1.89
	3.5	3.98	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.85
	3.6	3.8	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.24)	3.7 ↑ (3.55)	1.9 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Oss
26.4%

Draw
24.9%

FC Eindhoven
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Oss's form might have worsened.

FC Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Eindhoven's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Oss, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	5.6%	88.9%

FC Oss - FC Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Oss will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 74.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - FC Eindhoven (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Eindhoven will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Eindhoven (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Havekotte M. (C) 20. Van Hove B. 5. van de Wiel M. 14. Mariani M. 26. Kuijpers J. 23. Vianello D. 8. Esajas M. 11. Remans M. 27. de Lannoy M. 9. Wildeboer T. 17. Hinoke M.	1. Borgmans J. (G) 22. Essers C. 3. Limouri F. 33. Neeskens J. 24. Renfrum O. 8. Simons S. 5. Huisman D. (C) 16. Blomme X. 2. Simons T. 21. Muller T. 9. van Veen K.
Substitutes
31. Dekker T. 99. Doucoure S. 22. Erkan M. 19. Marhoum Y. 2. Miguel L. 12. Milder S. (G) 3. Pata I. 18. Pinto N. 16. Remie D. (G) 7. Slagveer L. 6. van Rooijen M.	7. Blummel S. 20. Bryson A. 14. Deenen H. 6. Dorenbosch D. 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 32. Janga R. 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 18. Munsters N. 15. van Berkel N. 27. van de Wetering M. 10. van Schuppen B. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)
Coaches
Ultee S.	Poortvliet J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Simons S. ⚽, Huisman D. (A),
26', Van Hove B. 🟨,
33', Wildeboer T. ↓, van Rooijen M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Limouri F. ↓, van de Wetering M. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Remans M. ⚽, Mariani M. (A),
61', de Lannoy M. ↓, Erkan M. ↑,
61', Van Hove B. ↓, Pata I. ↑,
62', Muller T. 🟨,
67', Muller T. ↓, Deenen H. ↑,
67', Blomme X. ↓, Dorenbosch D. ↑,
67', van Veen K. ↓, Janga R. ↑,
82', Hinoke M. ↓, Slagveer L. ↑,
83', Simons S. ↓, Blummel S. ↑,
83', Esajas M. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
90+2', Vianello D. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, van Rooijen M. ⚽, Slagveer L. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oss won 2.

Recent form of Oss has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

FC Eindhoven's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oss may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Oss: Cox T. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in FC Eindhoven: Brondeel J. (Broken Leg)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oss won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Oss won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Eindhoven FC: 0.72%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Oss	10	4	0	6	15:15	0	12
15	Eindhoven FC	10	3	2	5	15:22	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.03.26	Dordrecht - FC Oss	2:2 ✺
13.03.26	FC Oss - Willem II	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Helmond Sport - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	FC Oss - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTLT
- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.03.26	Jong PSV - FC Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Waalwijk - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Cambuur - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	FC Eindhoven - Almere City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.09.25	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	3:4
Club Friendly
12.07.25	FC Oss - FC Eindhoven	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.02.25	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	3:0
22.09.24	FC Oss - FC Eindhoven	0:4
05.04.24	FC Oss - FC Eindhoven	2:1
27.11.23	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	0:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.11.23	FC Oss - FC Eindhoven	0:1

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