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Current Win Probability
FC Eindhoven 14%
Draw 28.4%
Almere City 57.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
25.3%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
24.7%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almere City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+15%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almere City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
FC Eindhoven - Almere City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for FC Eindhoven: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Borgmans J. (G) 22. Essers C. 29. Ali H. 33. Neeskens J. 24. Renfrum O. 5. Huisman D. (C) 21. Muller T. 16. Blomme X. 7. Blummel S. 32. Janga R. 2. Simons T.
1. Wendlinger J. (G) 2. Reith B. 3. Jacobs Jo. (C) 22. van de Blaak E. 5. Bijleveld T. 8. de Haan M. 20. Kalisvaart J. 28. Providence R. 10. Rijkhoff J. 7. Burgering B. 9. Druijf F.
Substitutes
20. Bryson A. 19. de Moes S. 3. Egelmeers J. 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 18. Munsters N. 8. Simons S. 15. van Berkel N. 10. van Schuppen B. 27. van Tilburg M. 9. van Veen K. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)
24. Beaumont G. 6. Cornelisse E. 19. de Nijs O. 40. Dors M. 21. el Dahri H. 15. Engel M. 12. Kuijsten T. (G) 25. Sam A. 16. Takahashi N. 30. van der Wilt J. (G)
Coaches
Poortvliet J.
Rijsdijk J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Muller T. 🟨,
35', de Haan M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Blummel S. ⚽, Simons T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
54', Blomme X. 🟨,
58', Blomme X. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
59', Muller T. ↓, van Schuppen B. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Bijleveld T. ⚽, Cornelisse E. (A),
69', 1 - 2, Rijkhoff J. ⚽,
70', Simons T. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
70', Janga R. ↓, van Veen K. ↑,
79', Druijf F. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
80', Reith B. ↓, Sam A. ↑,
82', Ali H. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,
86', Rijkhoff J. 🟨,
86', Burgering B. ↓, Dors M. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, van Veen K. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Simons S. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 1.
Recent form of FC Eindhoven has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Almere City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Almere City might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).