Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 32

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Dordrecht		FC Oss

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6
	1.6	4	4.6
	1.49	4.25	5.9	Watch
	1.46	4.35	5.4
	1.54	4.43	5.26	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.75
	1.48	4.48	5.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)	4.32 ↑ (4)	5.55 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
61.9%

Draw
21.4%

FC Oss
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.

FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Dordrecht - FC Oss Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Oss will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Dordrecht (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Biai C. (G) 3. Valk S. (C) 15. M'Bemba Y. 25. Plug J. 2. van Aken J. 16. Bae S. 6. van Vianen D. 29. Rossi N. 22. Darelas A. 20. Yoon D. 7. Venema N.	1. Havekotte M. (C) 20. Van Hove B. 14. Mariani M. 23. Vianello D. 26. Kuijpers J. 8. Esajas M. 27. de Lannoy M. 6. van Rooijen M. 17. Hinoke M. 18. Pinto N. 9. Wildeboer T.
Substitutes
11. Afaker M. 17. Alassani Y. 9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 24. Huitzing G. 13. Kroll B. (G) 5. Mica Pinto 8. Sunderland L. 18. van Asten R. 10. van der Sluijs J. 21. Vetkal M.	31. Dekker T. 22. Erkan M. 19. Marhoum Y. 12. Milder S. (G) 28. Mol L. 3. Pata I. 11. Remans M. 16. Remie D. (G) 5. van de Wiel M.
Coaches
Kuyt D.	Ultee S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Bae S. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Venema N. ⚽, van Aken J. (A),
28', 2 - 1, Wildeboer T. ⚽, de Lannoy M. (A),
39', Esajas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Valk S. 🟨,
53', Kuijpers J. 🟨,
55', Yoon D. 🟨,
60', Pinto N. ↓, Remans M. ↑,
60', de Lannoy M. ↓, Erkan M. ↑,
62', Darelas A. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, van Rooijen M. ⚽, Hinoke M. (A),
71', Esajas M. ↓, Mol L. ↑,
71', Kuijpers J. ↓, Pata I. ↑,
76', van Aken J. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
76', Bae S. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
78', Yoon D. 🟨,
86', Venema N. 🟨,
87', Carrillo S. 🟨,
87', van Rooijen M. ↓, van de Wiel M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.

Dordrecht has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oss is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Oss may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dordrecht is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Dordrecht: Hilton J. (Knee Injury) Woudenberg L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Oss: Cox T. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Artic T. (Shoulder Injury) Hardley B. (Muscle Injury) Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Dordrecht: 0.65%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Oss	10	4	0	6	15:15	0	12
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8

Last Results with these Odds

FC Oss - the odds 4.5 are the expected chance of winning is 20.54%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.03.26	De Graafschap - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Dordrecht - MVV Maastricht	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Jong PSV - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Dordrecht - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Dordrecht - Emmen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTLW
- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.03.26	FC Oss - Willem II	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Helmond Sport - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	FC Oss - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	FC Oss - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.08.25	FC Oss - Dordrecht	0:3
19.04.25	FC Oss - Dordrecht	2:0
25.11.24	Dordrecht - FC Oss	2:2
19.04.24	Dordrecht - FC Oss	3:1
18.09.23	FC Oss - Dordrecht	0:1
19.05.23	Dordrecht - FC Oss	2:2
11.12.22	FC Oss - Dordrecht	0:1

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