Match Info

K League 1 - Round 13

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
World	K League TV


	Jeju		FC Seoul

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2	Watch
	3.7	3.25	2
	3.65	3.2	1.98
	3.89	3.38	2.09
	3.76	3.19	2.03	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2	Watch
	3.78	3.3	2	Watch
	3.7	3.2	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.7)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	1.99 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
24.7%

Draw
28.8%

FC Seoul
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.5%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

26.9%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Jeju - FC Seoul Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Seoul will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 17. Yu In-Soo 41. Kim Jae-Woo 3. Celestine J. 40. Kim Ryun-sung 22. Kwon Chang-Hoon 14. Oh Jae-Hyeok 20. Jang M. 7. Park Chang-Jun 94. Emerson Negueba 10. Nam Tae-Hee (C)	25. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 16. Choi Jun 40. Park Seong-hun 37. Ros J. 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 7. Jeong Seung-Won 42. Son J. 6. Babec H. 34. Song Min-Kyu 18. Cho Young-Wook 11. Ruiz L.
Substitutes
21. An Chan-Gi (G) 24. Choi Byung-wook 13. Jeong Woon 28. Kim Geon-Ung 27. Kim Jun-ha 18. Kim Shin-Jin 6. Kwon Gi-min 23. Rim Chang-Woo 11. Shin Sang-Eun	10. Anderson Oliveira 41. Hwang Do-Yun 9. Klimala P. 23. Ko Pil-gwan 20. Lee Han-Do 8. Lee Seung-Mo 1. Lim Jun-Sub (G) 27. Moon Seon-Min 66. Park Soo-Il
Coaches
Costa S.	Kim Gi-Dong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Park Chang-Jun ⚽, Emerson Negueba (A),
37', Park Chang-Jun ↓, Kim Jun-ha ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yu In-Soo ↓, Rim Chang-Woo ↑,
46', Cho Young-Wook ↓, Anderson Oliveira ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Kim Jun-ha ⚽,
56', Son J. ↓, Lee Seung-Mo ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Ruiz L. ⚽, Lee Seung-Mo (A),
64', Kwon Chang-Hoon ↓, Shin Sang-Eun ↑,
65', Choi Jun 🟨,
65', Nam Tae-Hee 🟨,
71', Jeong Seung-Won ↓, Klimala P. ↑,
73', Nam Tae-Hee ↓, Kwon Gi-min ↑,
84', Emerson Negueba 🟨,
86', Ruiz L. ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Seoul has had a series of home games.

Seoul will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Seoul ✔	31	20	5	6	58:26	32	65
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
05.05.26	Bucheon - Jeju	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Incheon United - Jeju	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWT
- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
05.05.26	FC Seoul - Anyang	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Gangwon - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	FC Seoul - Bucheon	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
15.03.26	Jeju - FC Seoul	1:2
23.07.25	Jeju - FC Seoul	3:2
31.05.25	FC Seoul - Jeju	1:3
15.02.25	Jeju - FC Seoul	2:0
16.08.24	FC Seoul - Jeju	1:0
06.07.24	Jeju - FC Seoul	3:2
16.03.24	FC Seoul - Jeju	2:0

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