Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 33

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium (Tallinn)


	FC Tallinn		Nõmme United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	13.5	8.4	1.09	Watch
	13	8.8	1.11
	1.00	1.00	1.12	Watch
	14.7	8.2	1.09
	10	7	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.44 ↑ (10.2)	6.68 ↓ (6.8)	1.11 ↓ (1.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Tallinn
8.4%

Draw
13.1%

Nõmme United
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

FC Tallinn - Nõmme United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bolgov S. (G) 22. Salamatov N. 27. Ussatsov I. 17. Avilov V. 21. Tinyakov M. 35. Sesterikov M. 10. Dmitrijev A. 77. Vynnychuk A. 44. Nesterov K. (C) 25. Ekharts D. 20. Arhipov L.	71. Purg G. (G) 23. Laanelaid K. 55. Chanda R. 6. Palts M. 13. Truuvaart A. 22. Radomskiy A. 14. Vassiljev N. 79. Ossep L. 16. Dacosta O. 11. Chisala B. 20. Matas K. (C)
Substitutes
7. Golovljov E. 1. Kassjantsuk I. (G) 9. Kulik V. 4. Mohhov I. 18. Plotnikov V. 11. Shevchuk N. 15. Slobodjan A. 29. Toropov A. 88. Verhogljad A.	4. Alteberg A. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 10. Frolov A. 50. Kaspar A. 92. Kokka K. 1. Lagus G. (G) 7. Leppik R. 28. Salmistu S. 8. Vain B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Vassiljev N. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Matas K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 3, Chisala B. ⚽,
52', 🟨,
54', 1 - 3, Nesterov K. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
90', 1 - 4, Chisala B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Tallinn won 0.

Recent performances by FC Tallinn have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nõmme United is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Nõmme United is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, FC Tallinn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:23. (average 0.9:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Tallinn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
19.10.25	Elva - FC Tallinn	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	FC Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	FC Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tartu Welco - FC Tallinn	2:2 ✺
18.09.25	FC Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWTL
- Nõmme United
Estonian Esiliiga
19.10.25	Nõmme United - Tammeka U21	6:0 ✺
27.09.25	Nõmme United - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
22.09.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Nõmme United	0:4 ✺
18.09.25	Nõmme United - Tartu Welco	5:2 ✺
13.09.25	Elva - Nõmme United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
31.08.25	Nõmme United - FC Tallinn	6:0
10.05.25	Nõmme United - FC Tallinn	4:0
01.03.25	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:2
29.10.23	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United	2:2
19.08.23	Nõmme United - FC Tallinn	5:0
14.05.23	Nõmme United - FC Tallinn	1:2
02.04.23	FC Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:3

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