Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Arena Nationala (Bucharest)

Referee: Bengoetxea R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 6
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Prima+ app


	FCSB		RFS

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.33
	1.8	3.6	4.33
	1.82	3.7	4.45
	1.81	3.73	4.62
	1.8	3.74	4.39	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.4
	1.84	3.83	4.43
	1.82	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)	3.73 ↓ (4.07)	4.43 ↓ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
52.8%

Draw
25.7%

RFS
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.5%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

24.5%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FCSB's form might have worsened.

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FCSB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	7.1%	5.4%

FCSB - RFS Predictions

Users Predictions: FCSB will win (49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 96.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 17. Popescu M. 5. Dawa J. 21. Chiriches V. 33. Radunovic R. 16. Lixandru M. 18. Edjouma M. 15. Stefanescu M. 27. Olaru D. (C) 11. Miculescu D. 9. Birligea D.	40. Ondoa F. (G) 11. Savalnieks R. 23. Prenga H. 2. Balodis D. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 27. Markhiev A. 26. Panic S. 8. Odisharia L. 9. Ikaunieks J. 18. Zelenkovs D. 17. Kouadio C.
Substitutes
42. Alhassan B. 25. Baluta A. 2. Cretu V. 70. Luis Phelipe 29. Musi A. 28. Pantea A. 3. Pantiru I. 19. Popa D. 10. Popescu O. 8. Sut A. 7. Tanase F. 99. Vlad A. (G)	22. Lemajic D. 25. Mares P. 15. Ndjiki R. 30. Njie H. 3. Osuagwu V. 77. Silagadze L. 1. Steinbors P. (G) 21. Stuglis E. 16. Vilkovs S. (G)
Coaches
Charalambous E.	Morozs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Birligea D. ⚽, Olaru D. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Lipuscek Z. ⚽, Ikaunieks J. (A),
32', 2 - 1, Stefanescu M. ⚽, Chiriches V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Miculescu D. ↓, Tanase F. ↑,
46', Savalnieks R. ↓, Ndjiki R. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Olaru D. ⚽, Tanase F. (A),
67', Edjouma M. ↓, Sut A. ↑,
67', Stefanescu M. ↓, Baluta A. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Olaru D. ⚽, Baluta A. (A),
70', Markhiev A. ↓, Silagadze L. ↑,
70', Prenga H. ↓, Njie H. ↑,
70', Kouadio C. ↓, Osuagwu V. ↑,
76', Birligea D. ↓, Popescu O. ↑,
84', Odisharia L. ↓, Stuglis E. ↑,
84', Olaru D. ↓, Popa D. ↑,
89', Chiriches V. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches FCSB is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RFS in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

FCSB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match FCSB is a favorite.

There will not play in FCSB: Ngezana S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in RFS: Diomande I. (Knee Injury) Emerson Deocleciano (Leg Injury) Jatta A. (Back Injury) Lemajic D. (Leg Injury) Osuagwu V. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in RFS: Mares P. (Leg Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
21.09.24	FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	CFR Cluj - FCSB	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	FCSB - UTA Arad	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	FCSB - LASK Linz	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
25.08.24	Hermannstadt - FCSB	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWWL
- FK RFS
Latvian Cup
23.09.24	RFS - Riga	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
20.09.24	RFS - Liepāja	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	RFS - BFC Daugavpils	4:1 ✺
13.09.24	Valmiera - RFS	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	APOEL - RFS	2:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 61 WWWWW

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