The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FF Jaro 25.3%
Draw 24.1%
Ilves 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
25%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
24.8%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FF Jaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FF Jaro's form might have worsened.
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FF Jaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.3%
8.7%
87%
FF Jaro - Ilves Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Jaro will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Ilves will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 72.1% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaro (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vits S. (G) 21. Myrevik J. 6. Brunell J. (C) 4. Ogungbaro M. 19. Ness F. O. 8. Kass Kawo O. 7. Skau J. 22. Harden K. 15. Vikstrom R. 11. Sjogrell H. 91. Vuorinen V.
12. Krkalic F. (G) 16. Miettunen T. 24. Kumpu V. 3. Rale M. 4. Pettersson O. 14. Popovitch A. 7. Veteli J. 13. Wallius K. 30. Kanga J. (C) 10. Riski Ro. 28. Kilo J.
Substitutes
5. Bjonback A. 31. Finell A. (G) 2. Kass F. 24. Lofs V. 95. Mendy E. 17. Nyman L. 16. Vidjeskog A. 27. Vikstrom J.
17. Baranov S. 9. Hytonen T. 22. Multala O. 6. Raap Y. 5. Vaisanen S. 1. Virtanen O. (G)
Coaches
Karlsson J.
Lehtonen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Sjogrell H. ⚽, Ness F. O. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Vikstrom R. ⚽, Sjogrell H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Riski Ro. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
60', Vuorinen V. ↓, Bjonback A. ↑,
67', Myrevik J. ↓, Vidjeskog A. ↑,
73', Wallius K. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
79', Harden K. ↓, Vikstrom J. ↑,
79', Raap Y. 🟨,
79', Bjonback A. ↓, Kass F. ↑,
85', Miettunen T. ↓, Vaisanen S. ↑,
85', Kilo J. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Raap Y. ⚽, Baranov S. (A),
88', Kumpu V. 🟨,
90', Sjogrell H. 🟨,
90+5', Vidjeskog A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 0.
Jaro has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ilves has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Jaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ilves is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Jaro: Myrevik J.
(Injury)
Pedersen M.
(Injury)
Weckstrom L.
(Injury)
Zetterstrom L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
Suvanne S.
(Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
Finland
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Vits S. (G) 
Myrevik J. 
Ogungbaro M. 
Ness F. O. 
Kass Kawo O. 
Sjogrell H. 
Krkalic F. (G) 
Mendy E. 
Raap Y. 
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