Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group - Round 23

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Ilves		FF Jaro

	1	X	2
	1.60	4.00	5.00	Watch
	1.63	4.00	4.75
	1.55	4.10	4.90	Watch
	1.67	4.15	5.09
	1.61	4.27	5.09	Watch
	1.63	4.15	5.10
	1.61	4.02	5.03	Watch
	1.59	3.95	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.47)	4.08 ↓ (4.55)	4.95 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
58.1%

Draw
23%

FF Jaro
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.6%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

16.9%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.

FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ilves - FF Jaro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - FC Ilves (1.62) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Ilves will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krkalic F. (G) 24. Kumpu V. 5. Vaisanen S. (C) 3. Rale M. 13. Wallius K. 14. Popovitch A. 15. Ala-Myllymaki L. 22. Multala O. 8. Stjopin M. 28. Kilo J. 9. Hytonen T.	1. Vits S. (G) 21. Myrevik J. (C) 4. Ogungbaro M. 25. Kocsis G. 19. Ness F. O. 16. Vidjeskog A. 7. Skau J. 5. Bjonback A. 27. Vikstrom J. 77. Sabriye A. 9. Zetterstrom L.
Substitutes
19. Bamba G. 17. Baranov S. 11. Coulibaly H. 31. Leislahti R. (G) 16. Miettunen T. 6. Raap Y. 33. Sacko Y. 25. Suvanne S. 45. Tamminen E.	18. Holmang E. 2. Kass F. 8. Kass Kawo O. 24. Lofs V. 26. Pedersen M. 12. Snellman J. (G) 20. Soderstrom T. 91. Vuorinen V.
Coaches
Lehtonen J.	Karlsson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Vidjeskog A. 🟨,
17', Myrevik J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Multala O. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
68', Zetterstrom L. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
68', Vidjeskog A. ↓, Kass Kawo O. ↑,
68', Kilo J. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
68', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Sacko Y. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Hytonen T. ⚽, Stjopin M. (A),
77', Kass Kawo O. 🟨,
77', Vikstrom J. ↓, Vuorinen V. ↑,
83', Stjopin M. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,
83', Hytonen T. ↓, Tamminen E. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Tamminen E. ⚽,
88', Bjonback A. ↓, Lofs V. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ))

Ilves is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )

Jaro is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.

Recent form of Ilves has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jaro has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ilves is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Jaro: Pedersen M. (Injury) Weckstrom L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jaro: Gunnarsson E. (Inactive) Lawson J. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 3.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Ilves - HJK	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Gnistan - Ilves	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Ilves - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.26	Ilves - IFK Mariehamn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLTW
- FF Jaro
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	IFK Mariehamn - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	HJK - FF Jaro	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Lahti - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.07.26	FF Jaro - Ilves	2:1
17.06.26	Ilves - FF Jaro	5:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
31.01.26	Ilves - FF Jaro	4:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
20.07.25	FF Jaro - Ilves	0:1
12.04.25	Ilves - FF Jaro	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.25	Ilves - FF Jaro	4:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.08.15	Ilves - FF Jaro	1:0

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