Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 16

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: OmaSp Stadion (Seinajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	SJK		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.50	2.80	Watch
	2.25	3.50	2.85
	2.35	3.45	2.70	Watch
	2.35	3.75	3.03
	3	3.77	2.18	Watch
	2.25	3.65	3.00
	2.35	3.59	2.74	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (3.36)	3.58 ↓ (3.77)	2.76 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SJK
39.6%

Draw
26.3%

KuPS Kuopio
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

24.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

23.9%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SJK's performance.

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SJK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	5.9%	64.7%

SJK - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. SJK will win (votes: 4 - 25%). KuPS will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paunio R. (G) 6. Yussif S. 4. Pires K. 5. Vaisto O. 15. Mommo E. 8. Bostrom A. 18. Arsalo M. (C) 23. Wilson A. 47. Suso M. 10. Paananen K. 19. Mastokangas E.	12. Riihimaki H. (G) 29. Puukko A. 33. Hamalainen T. 23. Lotjonen A. (C) 3. Heiskanen S. 13. Kujasalo N. 16. Jyry T. 22. Touray S. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 17. Heinonen A.
Substitutes
43. Bagayogo S. 42. Caio Araujo 51. Cisse A. 17. Hanninen V. 60. James S. (G) 7. Kelwin 26. Moisio J. 9. Streng J. 3. Yao K.	4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 24. Armah B. 9. Engvall G. 10. Gasc V. R. 20. Parzyszek P. 8. Pennanen P. 6. Savolainen S. 37. Silen K. (G)
Coaches
Wiss J.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽, Puukko A. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽, Jyry T. (A),
42', Kujasalo N. 🟨,
44', Mommo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Suso M. ↓, Streng J. ↑,
46', Arsalo M. ↓, Kelwin ↑,
58', Paananen K. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
62', Heiskanen S. ↓, Adams K. ↑,
62', Heinonen A. ↓, Engvall G. ↑,
70', Jyry T. ↓, Gasc V. R. ↑,
70', Puukko A. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
74', Wilson A. ↓, Caio Araujo ↑,
74', Engvall G. 🟨,
74', Mastokangas E. ↓, Hanninen V. ↑,
81', Kujasalo N. ↓, Pennanen P. ↑,
86', Pennanen P. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 1.

SJK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KuPS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

SJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

KuPS might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in SJK: Bjorkskog A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in KuPS: Pasanen S. (Injury) Voutilainen J. (Injury)

There are questionable in SJK: Padera P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SJK won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.2:1.2).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 39.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.07.26	VPS Vaasa - SJK	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	SJK - TPS	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Ilves - SJK	2:2 ✺
23.06.26	Inter Turku - SJK	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	SJK - VPS Vaasa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTTL
- KuPS Kuopio
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - Vardar	2:3 AET ✺
07.07.26	Vardar - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	HJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:4 ✺
23.06.26	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	4:3 ✺
17.06.26	TPS - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.05.26	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	0:0
Club Friendly
27.03.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
07.02.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.10.25	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:1
23.09.25	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	3:2
31.08.25	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	1:1
02.05.25	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	1:0

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