Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Ilves		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.25	2.52	Watch
	2.75	3.45	2.6
	2.54	3.35	2.78	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.5
	2.69	3.41	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.18)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	2.55 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
35.2%

Draw
28.1%

KuPS Kuopio
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.9%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KuPS Kuopio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KuPS Kuopio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Ilves - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Virtanen O. (G) 19. Bamba G. 16. Miettunen T. 5. Vaisanen S. (C) 3. Rale M. 22. Multala O. 30. Kanga J. 14. Popovitch A. 8. Stjopin M. 10. Riski Ro. 9. Hytonen T.	1. Kreidl J. (G) 24. Armah B. 33. Hamalainen T. 4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 34. Ruoppi O. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 9. Engvall G. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 19. Kabuye C.
Substitutes
17. Baranov S. 28. Kilo J. 12. Krkalic F. (G) 4. Pettersson O. 6. Raap Y. 20. Tiitinen O. 13. Wallius K.	17. Heinonen A. 3. Heiskanen S. 13. Kujasalo N. 23. Lotjonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 28. Magassa B. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 26. Toivonen A.
Coaches
Lehtonen J.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Pennanen P. ⚽,
21', Virtanen O. ↓, Krkalic F. ↑,
43', 0 - 2, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽, Ruoppi O. (A),
45+1', Popovitch A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bamba G. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Armah B. ⚽, Gasc V. R. (A),
64', Engvall G. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
69', Multala O. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
69', Stjopin M. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
73', Kabuye C. ↓, Kujasalo N. ↑,
84', Gasc V. R. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
84', Armah B. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
84', Riski Ro. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Hytonen T. ⚽, Kilo J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.

Ilves is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KuPS has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ilves could have a small edge in this match.

There are questionable in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L. (Injury)

There are questionable in KuPS: Puukko A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 37.15%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.03.26	Inter Turku - Ilves	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ilves - Oulu	2:2 ✺
18.02.26	Ilves - SJK	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWW
- KuPS Kuopio
Club Friendly
27.03.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	KuPS Kuopio - JIPPO	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
28.02.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Lech Poznań - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.10.25	Ilves - KuPS Kuopio	1:1
14.09.25	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	2:4
14.06.25	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	0:3
21.05.25	Ilves - KuPS Kuopio	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
18.01.25	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	3:4
Club Friendly
20.12.24	Ilves - KuPS Kuopio	2:2

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