Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	FH Hafnarfjordur		Fjölnir

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.33	6
	1.4	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.38	4.6	5.8
	1.42	5.16	7.19
	1.36	4.8	7
	1.42	5.1	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	4.75 ↑ (4.59)	6.67 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FH Hafnarfjordur
66.5%

Draw
19.5%

Fjölnir
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.7%

16.7%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FH Hafnarfjordur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Fjölnir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FH Hafnarfjordur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

FH Hafnarfjordur - Fjölnir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Europa League (Qualification) and 12 in the zone Relegation to Inkassotodeildin).

Hafnarfjordur is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fjölnir is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hafnarfjordur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hafnarfjordur have a series of home games.

In this match Hafnarfjordur is indisputable favorite.

In this match Hafnarfjordur is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hafnarfjordur won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hafnarfjordur won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FH Hafnarfjordur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.09.20	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur	1:4 ✺
21.09.20	Fylkir - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:4 ✺
17.09.20	FH Hafnarfjordur - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:0 ✺
13.09.20	FH Hafnarfjordur - Breiðablik	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
10.09.20	FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWW
- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.09.20	Fjölnir - Akraness	1:3 ✺
19.09.20	Fjölnir - KA Akureyri	1:1 ✺
14.09.20	Grótta - Fjölnir	2:2 ✺
05.09.20	Fjölnir - Breiðablik	1:4 ✺
25.08.20	Fylkir - Fjölnir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.07.20	Fjölnir - FH Hafnarfjordur	0:3
30.07.18	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fjölnir	1:0
13.05.18	Fjölnir - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:3
21.09.17	Fjölnir - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:1
22.05.17	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fjölnir	1:2
15.08.16	Fjölnir - FH Hafnarfjordur	0:1
16.05.16	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fjölnir	2:0

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