Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 11

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe (Fafe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Fafe		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	1.83	3.4	3.9
	1.83	3.5	4.51
	1.82	3.5	4.32	Watch
	1.77	3.38	4.22
	1.83	3.4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.96)	3.41 ↑ (3.21)	4.13 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fafe
50.8%

Draw
26.9%

Atlético CP
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+1%)

Fafe - Atlético CP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Alves C. (G) 26. Batista J. 8. Braga V. 22. Bruninho 35. Cardoso F. 12. Farias E. 7. Leite T. 5. Nandinho 21. Pereira M. 10. Serra Matos P. M. 4. Teixeira L.	1. Ribeiro L. (G) 23. Almeida B. 10. Caleb 28. Cruz H. 5. Durand V. 11. Franco E. 4. Henriques D. 9. Nicolas Souza 31. Paulinho 22. Pinheiro E. 13. Talison
Substitutes
1. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 9. Kodama R. 6. Lucas Vital 44. Morais B. 11. Picas 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 3. Silva G. 2. Sousa B. 13. Vigario J.	7. Barandas M. 99. Caldeira M. (G) 29. Dinamite D. 20. Gonzalez F. 60. Marques R. 77. Mendes J. 88. Pinto P. 51. Santos A. 17. Silva D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Talison ↓, Barandas M. ↑,
33', 1 - 0, Bruninho (Pen),
45', Nandinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Farias E. ↓, Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↑,
58', Bruninho ↓, Picas ↑,
62', Henriques D. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
68', Serra Matos P. M. ↓, Kodama R. ↑,
72', Cardoso F. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Picas ⚽,
75', 🟨,
76', Pinheiro E. ↓, Pinto P. ↑,
82', Cruz H. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
83', Franco E. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
88', Teixeira L. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
88', Braga V. ↓, Lucas Vital ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Fafe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fafe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
20.04.25	Lusitânia - Fafe	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Fafe - Amarante	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	1 Dezembro - Fafe	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Fafe - Varzim	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Fafe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWT
- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
19.04.25	Atlético CP - Varzim	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Atlético CP - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	1 Dezembro - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Atlético CP - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
02.03.25	Atlético CP - Fafe	4:0

Fafe - Atlético CP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide