The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fafe 35.7%
Draw 34%
Torreense 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.9%
27.4%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
26.7%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torreense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fafe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torreense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
30%
40%
Fafe - Torreense Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Fafe will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Torreense will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Torreense (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Joao Goncalo (G) 85. Castro D. 26. Batista J. 4. Teixeira L. 15. Breno 35. Cardoso F. (C) 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 8. Braga V. 10. Ka 9. Santos J. 77. Carlos Daniel
13. Perez U. (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira (C) 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. 6. Leo Silva 20. Pite 26. Simoes A. 11. Pozo M. 9. Zohi K. 31. Seydi I.
Substitutes
20. Amorim J. 21. Davis SIlva 95. Fonseca T. 19. Leal J. 22. Manu (G) 11. Picas 78. Pinto G. 7. Veiga T. 5. Ze Oliveira
46. Agbor B. 8. Alfaro A. 47. Baradji A. 4. Casas A. 10. Costinha 57. Danilo 65. Guilherme Liberato 1. Lucas Paes (G) 29. Quintero L.
Coaches
Ferreira M.
Tralhao L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Ribeiro Oliveira J. ⚽, Braga V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pite ↓, Guilherme Liberato ↑,
55', Joao Goncalo 🟥,
59', 1 - 1, Pozo M. ⚽,
60', Ka ↓, Manu ↑,
70', Simoes A. ↓, Costinha ↑,
78', Santos J. ↓, Picas ↑,
78', Braga V. ↓, Ze Oliveira ↑,
79', Costinha 🟨,
79', Batista J. 🟨,
85', Seydi I. ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
90', Costinha 🟨,
90+3', Stopira 🟨,
90+4', Carlos Daniel ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
90+4', Breno ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
90+9', Pozo M. ↓, Alfaro A. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Fafe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Fafe: Goncalves R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Torreense: Drammeh M.
(Red Card)
Jean D.
(Red Card)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fafe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Torreense - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.