Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	15:30	Sporting TV, Sport TV2


	Torreense		Leiria

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.88
	2.15	3	3
	2.32	3.05	3.1
	2.45	3.15	3.35
	2.29	3.08	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.41	3.18	2.94	Watch
	2.36	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.45)	3.05 ↑ (2.63)	3.1 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
39.7%

Draw
30.4%

Leiria
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

35.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

35%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Torreense - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Leiria (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leiria (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira (C) 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. 6. Leo Silva 65. Guilherme Liberato 26. Simoes A. 11. Pozo M. 17. Drammeh M. 7. Jean D.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 68. Maga 44. Marcelo 16. Ze Pedro 3. Baro M. 88. Martins D. 8. Kouassi E. 19. Fernandez P. 10. van der Gaag J. 45. Mendes J. 9. Munoz J. (C)
Substitutes
46. Agbor B. 8. Alfaro A. 4. Casas A. 57. Danilo 13. Perez U. (G) 20. Pite 29. Quintero L. 31. Seydi I. 9. Zohi K.	25. Amado D. 20. Gomes B. 11. Jair da Silva 17. Lucho Vega 86. Michel D. 99. Odehnal J. (G) 21. Pires M. 6. Rodriguez G. 15. Silva J.
Coaches
Tralhao L.	Pereira F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Simoes A. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Martins D. ⚽,
16', Mendes J. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
19', Ze Pedro 🟨,
30', Ze Pedro 🟨,
34', Fernandez P. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Vazquez J. ⚽, Simoes A. (A),
42', Kouassi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Simoes A. ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
46', Kouassi E. ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Drammeh M. ⚽, Leo Silva (A),
70', Munoz J. ↓, Michel D. ↑,
70', van der Gaag J. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
74', Pozo M. ↓, Alfaro A. ↑,
74', Drammeh M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
75', Marcelo 🟨,
79', Lucho Vega 🟨,
89', Alfaro A. 🟨,
90', Guilherme Liberato ↓, Casas A. ↑,
90', Jean D. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
90+3', Michel D. 🟨,
90+6', Rodriguez G. 🟥,
90+7', 3 - 1, Mohamed D. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 3.

Torreense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leiria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leiria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Torreense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Torreense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Leiria	8	3	2	3	11:10	1	11
13	Torreense	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Taça de Portugal
04.02.26	Fafe - Torreense	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.26	Académico de Viseu - Torreense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Torreense - Farense	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Torreense	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLWWW
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
26.01.26	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Leiria - Vizela	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Académico de Viseu - Leiria	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
03.01.26	Feirense - Leiria	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
11.01.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1
Portuguese Liga 2
29.08.25	Leiria - Torreense	1:0
06.04.25	Leiria - Torreense	1:3
10.11.24	Torreense - Leiria	2:1
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Torreense - Leiria	0:0
Portuguese Liga 2
20.04.24	Torreense - Leiria	0:3
08.12.23	Leiria - Torreense	1:0

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