Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Campos C. (Por)


	Torreense		Farense

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.63
	2.37	3	2.7
	2.52	3.15	2.72
	2.52	3.28	2.92
	2.62	3.17	2.72	Watch
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.51	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)	3.14 ↑ (3.12)	2.78 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
37.6%

Draw
29.3%

Farense
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Torreense - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Torreense (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira (C) 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. 10. Costinha 65. Guilherme Liberato 6. Leo Silva 11. Pozo M. 9. Zohi K. 7. Jean D.	99. Araujo B. (G) 43. Dario Miranda 26. Ruben 34. Herrero T. 6. Derick Poloni 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 8. Menino M. 80. Ndiaye A. 20. Semedo Y. 10. Almeida B. 9. Carter A.
Substitutes
46. Agbor B. 8. Alfaro A. 57. Danilo 17. Drammeh M. 13. Perez U. (G) 20. Pite 29. Quintero L. 31. Seydi I. 26. Simoes A.	17. Candeias A. 7. Costa R. 21. Jaiminho 77. Matias M. 45. Ntokon V. 14. Poveda D. 70. Rivaldo 90. Sangare B. 30. Tannander J. (G)
Coaches
Tralhao L.	Neto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Costinha (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Menino M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Dario Miranda 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Zohi K. ⚽, David Bruno (A),
60', Almeida B. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
60', Ndiaye A. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
60', Derick Poloni ↓, Sangare B. ↑,
63', Jean D. 🟨,
67', Zohi K. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
67', Jean D. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Sangare B. ⚽, Dario Miranda (A),
77', Pozo M. ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
77', Costinha ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
80', Carter A. ↓, Candeias A. ↑,
80', Menino M. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
87', Guilherme Liberato 🟨,
90+1', Guilherme Liberato ↓, Agbor B. ↑,
90+3', Lucas Paes 🟨,
90+6', Claudio Falcao 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

In recent matches, Torreense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Farense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Farense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Farense has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Torreense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SC Farense	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
19.01.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Torreense	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
05.01.26	Vizela - Torreense	0:1 ✺
30.12.25	Torreense - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Penafiel - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWLL
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.26	Farense - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Farense - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Farense	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Farense - Leiria	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.12.25	Farense - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.08.25	Farense - Torreense	0:3
29.01.23	Torreense - Farense	1:0
06.08.22	Farense - Torreense	2:1

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