Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 36

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Referee: Yoshida T. (Jpn)


	Fagiano Okayama		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2	Watch
	3.55	3.6	2.11
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.48	3.54	2.03	Watch
	3.35	3.5	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.78)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	2.04 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
27.2%

Draw
26.9%

Júbilo Iwata
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.5%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fagiano Okayama's form might have worsened.

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Júbilo Iwata's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Fagiano Okayama - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hotta D. (G) 15. Motoyama H. 5. Yanagi Y. (C) 43. Suzuki Y. 17. Sueyoshi R. 6. Wakasa Y. 42. Takahashi R. 44. Semba T. 41. Tabei R. 7. Alves T. 48. Sakamoto I.	21. Miura R. (G) 17. Suzuki Y. 6. Ito M. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 7. Uehara R. 28. Kanuma N. 14. Matsumoto M. 10. Yamada H. (C) 33. Dudu 18. Germain R.
Substitutes
23. Buijs J. 13. Kanayama J. (G) 27. Kawai Y. 19. Kimura T. 99. Lucao 8. Mauk S. 2. Takagi Y.	50. Endo Y. 13. Fujikawa K. 31. Furukawa Y. 42. Goto K. 81. Kajikawa Y. (G) 3. Morioka R. 5. Ogawa D.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Yokouchi A.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 1.

Okayama is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Iwata is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Iwata will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Okayama won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
16.09.23	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Iwaki - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Fagiano Okayama - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWWWW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
16.09.23	Júbilo Iwata - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	3:2 ✺
02.09.23	Blaublitz Akita - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Júbilo Iwata - JEF United Chiba	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
18.02.23	Júbilo Iwata - Fagiano Okayama	2:3
18.09.21	Júbilo Iwata - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
04.04.21	Fagiano Okayama - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
14.11.20	Fagiano Okayama - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
05.07.20	Júbilo Iwata - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
01.08.15	Fagiano Okayama - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
11.04.15	Júbilo Iwata - Fagiano Okayama	1:1

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