The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Júbilo Iwata 41.6%
Draw 29.1%
Renofa Yamaguchi 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
24.7%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
23.8%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Júbilo Iwata's form might have worsened.
Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renofa Yamaguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Júbilo Iwata will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Abe K. (G) 50. Uemura H. 5. Ezaki T. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 25. Nakamura S. 7. Uehara R. 33. Kawai T. 23. Croux J. 11. Matheus Peixoto 71. Masui K.
1. Marsman N. (G) 55. Okaniwa S. 15. Itakura T. 4. Matsuda K. 18. Kamekawa M. 8. Noyori K. 17. Tanabe K. 7. Misawa N. 38. Suenaga T. 30. Okuyama Y. 45. Yamamoto O.
Substitutes
6. Kaneko D. 2. Kawasaki I. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 16. Leo Gomes 20. Sato R. 39. Sumi K. 8. Tameda H. 22. Ueebisu K. 9. Watanabe R.
34. Furukawa D. 10. Ikegami J. 28. Kobayashi S. 40. Naruoka H. 27. Ozawa R. 14. Shimodo R. 26. Taguchi J. (G) 19. Yamamoto S. 11. Yokoyama R.
Coaches
Hutchinson J.
Shigaki R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Uehara R. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
57', Kawai T. ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
59', Suenaga T. ↓, Yokoyama R. ↑,
59', Misawa N. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Yamamoto O. ⚽, Okuyama Y. (A),
70', Masui K. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
70', Matheus Peixoto ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
74', Okuyama Y. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
74', Noyori K. ↓, Ozawa R. ↑,
81', Nakamura S. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
81', Yamamoto O. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 0.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Iwata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Iwata will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.4:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 3.77 are the expected chance of winning is 24.52%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Abe K. (G) 
Ricardo Graca 
Croux J. 
Marsman N. (G) 
Hutchinson J. 
