Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 28

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fagiano Okayama		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	5	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.72	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.77	5.12
	1.74	3.55	4.84	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.75
	1.69	3.64	4.74	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.74)	3.57 ↓ (3.65)	4.74 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
54.5%

Draw
26%

Oita Trinita
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fagiano Okayama - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: Fagiano Okayama will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 7. Takeuchi R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 39. Hayakawa J. 19. Iwabuchi H. 22. Ichimi K.	22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 31. Sousa Pereira M. 25. Ando T. 2. Kagawa Y. 44. Yoshida M. 26. Yasuda K. 5. Nakagawa H. 18. Nodake J. 99. Takahashi D. 10. Nomura N. 13. Isa K.
Substitutes
13. Kanayama J. (G) 27. Kimura T. 29. Saito K. 14. Tabei R. 2. Takagi Y. 10. Tanaka Y. 5. Yanagi Y.	21. Ayukawa S. 3. Derlan 32. Hamada T. (G) 14. Ikeda R. 41. Kim H. 29. Utsumoto S. 6. Yumiba M.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Katanosaka T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ando T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Takeuchi R. ↓, Tabei R. ↑,
59', Hayakawa J. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
70', Isa K. ↓, Kim H. ↑,
70', Kagawa Y. ↓, Derlan ↑,
72', Ichimi K. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
77', Takahashi D. ↓, Ikeda R. ↑,
77', Yoshida M. ↓, Utsumoto S. ↑,
83', Nakagawa H. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
85', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
85', Yanagi T. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
85', Abe K. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
88', Nodake J. 🟥,
90', Nomura N. ↓, Ayukawa S. ↑,
90+7', Sousa Pereira M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 2.

Recent matches Okayama is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oita Trinita is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Okayama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Okayama is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Okayama won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Tokushima Vortis - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Fagiano Okayama - JEF United Chiba	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Tochigi - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTTW
- Oita Trinita
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	Kyoto Sanga - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
18.08.24	Ehime - Oita Trinita	3:2 ✺
11.08.24	Oita Trinita - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Oita Trinita - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.03.24	Oita Trinita - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
19.08.23	Fagiano Okayama - Oita Trinita	1:0
17.06.23	Oita Trinita - Fagiano Okayama	1:0
10.07.22	Oita Trinita - Fagiano Okayama	2:2
21.05.22	Fagiano Okayama - Oita Trinita	1:0
11.08.18	Oita Trinita - Fagiano Okayama	4:1
11.03.18	Fagiano Okayama - Oita Trinita	1:0

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