Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 38

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kagoshima United		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.32	3.8	1.83
	4.14	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.73
	4.02	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.95)	3.59 ↓ (3.64)	1.79 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
22.7%

Draw
25.8%

Fagiano Okayama
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.7%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

24.7%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Kagoshima United - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 6. Watanabe E. 28. Tone I. 23. Okamoto S. 14. Nodake H. 19. Inaba S. 30. Kimura Y. 21. Tanaka W. 34. Suzuki S. 20. Endo M. 38. Arita R.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 5. Yanagi Y. 15. Motoyama H. 24. Fujita I. 14. Tabei R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 27. Kimura T. 19. Iwabuchi H. 22. Ichimi K.
Substitutes
9. Arita K. 11. Goryo J. 25. Hanato J. 17. Hoshi K. 5. Ibayashi A. 13. Matsuyama K. (G) 35. Nakahara S.	1. Hotta D. (G) 33. Kamiya Yuta 99. Lucao 11. Ota R. 2. Takagi Y. 7. Takeuchi R. 6. Wakasa Y.
Coaches
Asano T.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Kimura Y. ↓, Nakahara S. ↑,
61', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
62', Kimura T. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
72', Tabei R. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
72', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
75', Arita R. ↓, Arita K. ↑,
76', Endo M. ↓, Goryo J. ↑,
79', Motoyama H. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
85', Suzuki S. ↓, Hanato J. ↑,
85', Okamoto S. ↓, Ibayashi A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Kagoshima United is Relegated to J3 League

Recent matches Kagoshima United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Okayama is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Okayama is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kagoshima United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
03.11.24	Tokushima Vortis - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kagoshima United	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Kagoshima United - Ehime	4:0 ✺
06.10.24	Yokohama FC - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Kagoshima United - Mito HollyHock	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
03.11.24	Fagiano Okayama - Fujieda MYFC	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Yokohama FC - Fagiano Okayama	2:4 ✺
20.10.24	Fagiano Okayama - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
09.06.24	Fagiano Okayama - Kagoshima United	1:1
02.11.19	Kagoshima United - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
07.07.19	Fagiano Okayama - Kagoshima United	2:1

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