Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Fakel		Dynamo Bryansk

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.75
	1.75	3.15	4.25
	1.73	2.95	5
	1.82	3.2	5.41
	1.83	3	4.8	Watch
	1.88	3.14	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.92)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)	4.79 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
51.4%

Draw
29.4%

Dynamo Bryansk
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

29.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Dynamo Bryansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fakel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Bryansk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Fakel - Dynamo Bryansk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dynamo Bryansk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fakel is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fakel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Irtysh Omsk - Fakel	1:0 ✺
23.09.20	Fakel - Tom Tomsk	0:0 ✺
19.09.20	Chertanovo - Fakel	0:3 ✺
13.09.20	Fakel - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
09.09.20	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWLW
- Dynamo Bryansk
Russian Cup
30.09.20	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Dynamo Bryansk - Volgar Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
23.09.20	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Bryansk	7:0 ✺
19.09.20	Dynamo Bryansk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:0 ✺
05.09.20	Dynamo Bryansk - Spartak 2 Moscow	Spartak Moscow 2 awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLW?

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL Center
17.10.14	Fakel - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0
18.07.14	Dynamo Bryansk - Fakel	1:3

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