Match Info

FNL - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Fakel Stadium (Voronezh)

Referee: Plisko M. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Fakel		Yenisey Krasnoyarsk

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.26	5.04
	1.78	3.3	4.9	Watch
	1.75	3.14	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	3.23 ↓ (3.46)	4.76 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
51.9%

Draw
28.6%

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

27.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

28.2%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 55. Todorovic D. 5. Gabaraev A. 20. Yurganov I. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 23. Yakimov V. 18. Simonov K. 52. Netfullin R. 97. Magomedov B. 7. Gnapi Dable A. 9. Turishchev M.	50. Shamov E. (G) 5. Emerson 3. Tses Y. 25. Shershov N. 33. Maslovskiy A. 6. Batyrev A. 18. Nadolskiy A. 24. Pogosov A. 21. Ivanov E. 87. Mazurin A. 75. Okladnikov A.
Substitutes
70. Abdokov N. 10. Alshin I. 25. Belyaev A. 2. Cherov V. 95. Gaponov I. 99. Giorgobiani N. 62. Kalinichev V. (G) 11. Motpan N. 66. Patkovich N. 19. Pusi B. 93. Uridia M.	10. Aliyev A. 1. Antipin S. (G) 7. Chukanov A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 22. Gyurdzhan A. 8. Kanaplin A. 49. Kenfak O. 11. Khashkulov A. 77. Ogienko R. 81. Pechura R. 9. Ratkovic L. 17. Zazvonkin I.
Coaches
Vasilenko O.	Tashuev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Gabaraev A. 🟨,
44', Pogosov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Magomedov B. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
46', Turishchev M. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
46', Ivanov E. ↓, Kanaplin A. ↑,
51', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
58', Pogosov A. ↓, Chukanov A. ↑,
58', Nadolskiy A. ↓, Pechura R. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Todorovic D. ⚽,
76', Gnapi Dable A. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
76', Gabaraev A. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
79', 🟨,
82', Batyrev A. ↓, Ogienko R. ↑,
82', Emerson ↓, Gyurdzhan A. ↑,
85', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Pusi B. ⚽,
90+4', Simonov K. ↓, Belyaev A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 3.

Recent performances by Fakel have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yenisey is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Fakel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Yenisey: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Yenisey	12	3	5	4	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
27.04.26	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Fakel - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Fakel - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Fakel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLLW
- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
26.04.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Sokol Saratov - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:4 ✺
17.04.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chelyabinsk	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:4 ✺
04.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
20.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	1:1
10.06.23	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0
07.06.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	0:1
26.03.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	2:1
15.09.21	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1
06.03.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	1:3
09.09.20	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0

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