Match Info

Date: 19 September 2021, Sunday


	Kuban Krasnodar		Fakel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.3	1.87
	4.6	3.35	1.64
	4.1	3.3	1.74
	4.64	3.6	1.81
	4.2	3.3	1.78
	4.55	3.58	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.58)	3.41 ↑ (3.04)	1.77 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuban Krasnodar
21.1%

Draw
27%

Fakel
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

30.5%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.1%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuban Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kuban Krasnodar - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion)).

Kuban is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fakel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Kuban have a series of guest games.

In this match Fakel is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kuban won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kuban won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuban Krasnodar
Russian FNL
15.09.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3 ✺
05.09.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Kuban Krasnodar	0:2 ✺
29.08.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.21	Leningradets - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWLL
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
15.09.21	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	2:2 ✺
05.09.21	Fakel - Krasnodar 2	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	KAMAZ - Fakel	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.21	Dynamo Barnaul - Fakel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
11.04.18	Fakel - Kuban Krasnodar	0:2
16.09.17	Kuban Krasnodar - Fakel	2:2
01.04.17	Fakel - Kuban Krasnodar	2:2
03.09.16	Kuban Krasnodar - Fakel	0:0

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