Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Falcon		Sousa

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.2	2.85	3.25
	2.21	2.83	3.28
	2.17	3.18	3.22
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.65)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)	3.21 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcon
41.3%

Draw
30.5%

Sousa
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

32.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falcon's performance.

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sousa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falcon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Falcon - Sousa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Falcon is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sousa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Falcon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcon FC
Brazilian Serie D
23.07.23	Retrô Brasil - Falcon	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Falcon - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Sergipe - Falcon	1:3 ✺
02.07.23	Falcon - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1 ✺
28.06.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Falcon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWWWL
- Sousa
Brazilian Serie D
23.07.23	Sousa - Globo FC	4:0 ✺
15.07.23	Pacajus - Sousa	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	Sousa - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
03.07.23	Campinense - Sousa	1:2 ✺
28.06.23	Sousa - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWW

Falcon - Sousa

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Falcon - Sousa Predictions

Preview

Form

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