Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Hampden Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Falkirk		Inverness

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3	3.3	2.2
	3.12	3.45	2.21
				Watch
	3.18	3.46	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.35	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (4.2)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.15 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkirk
29.3%

Draw
27.5%

Inverness
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

26.5%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

26.9%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falkirk's performance.

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inverness might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falkirk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inverness could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Falkirk - Inverness Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Hampden Park.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 1.

Recent matches Falkirk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Inverness in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Inverness will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Falkirk won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkirk FC
Scottish League One
22.04.23	Alloa Athletic - Falkirk	1:4 ✺
18.04.23	Falkirk - Edinburgh City	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Falkirk - Airdrieonians	2:2 ✺
11.04.23	Montrose - Falkirk	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Falkirk - Dunfermline Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWT
- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
22.04.23	Inverness - Dundee	1:1 ✺
18.04.23	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Cove Rangers - Inverness	1:2 ✺
11.04.23	Inverness - Arbroath	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Inverness - Raith Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
30.03.19	Inverness - Falkirk	0:0
26.01.19	Falkirk - Inverness	2:2
01.12.18	Inverness - Falkirk	2:3
04.08.18	Falkirk - Inverness	0:1
10.04.18	Inverness - Falkirk	1:0
27.01.18	Falkirk - Inverness	3:1
09.01.18	Inverness - Falkirk	4:1

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