Match Info

League One - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Accies TV, BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Hamilton Academical		Inverness

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.2	1.4	Watch
	6.3	4.55	1.41	Watch
	7.17	4.93	1.38
	5.36	4.41	1.52	Watch
	6	3.5	1.5
	6.7	4.65	1.42	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.33 ↑ (5.38)	4.39 ↑ (3.68)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
14.5%

Draw
21%

Inverness
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

24.7%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

23.9%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inverness's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Hamilton Academical - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Inverness will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lane J. (G) 2. Hutton Z. 5. Smutek K. 4. Kilday L. 33. Hendrie S. 21. Crookston G. 16. MacDonald K. 9. Shaw O. 15. Newbury C. 27. McKinstry S. 7. O'Hara K.	1. Munro R. (G) 14. MacLeod C. 6. Devine D. 5. Savage R. 12. Robertson M. 17. Sole L. 19. Stewart A. 7. Allan P. 20. Brannan B. 36. Bavidge A. 23. Zimba C.
Substitutes
28. Black B. 32. Eadie A. 30. Gallacher T. 18. Morgan L. 49. Shiels D. 19. Simpson E. 51. Stafford N. (G)	22. Alonge J. 11. Longstaff L. 3. MacIntyre O. 8. Mackinnon A. 9. McKay B. 21. Ross L. (G) 37. Willox K. 10. Wotherspoon D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Bavidge A. ⚽, Brannan B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hutton Z. ↓, Gallacher T. ↑,
69', Zimba C. ↓, McKay B. ↑,
69', Sole L. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
82', Bavidge A. ↓, Willox K. ↑,
86', Crookston G. ↓, Black B. ↑,
87', Allan P. ↓, Alonge J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 3.

Hamilton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inverness is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hamilton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inverness is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamilton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Hamilton: 13.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hamilton	8	7	1	0	18:2	16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Peterhead - Hamilton Academical	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Queen of the South - Hamilton Academical	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLW
- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
07.02.26	Inverness - East Fife	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Queen of the South - Inverness	2:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.01.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
24.01.26	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	East Fife - Inverness	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
13.12.25	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	4:0
04.10.25	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	3:1
Scottish Football Championship
18.05.24	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	2:3
15.05.24	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	2:1
18.04.23	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	1:2
21.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	2:1
18.02.23	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	0:3

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