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Current Win Probability
Famalicão 62.8%
Draw 27.6%
Vitoria Guimarães 9.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
27.9%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
30%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Famalicão's performance.
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Famalicão that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
23.1%
30.8%
Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Guimarães will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 3. Realpe L. 16. De Haas J. 5. Rafa Soares 6. Van de Looi T. 14. De Amorim M. 77. Joujou A. 20. Sa G. (C) 7. Sorriso 12. Elisor S.
25. Castillo J. (G) 2. Maga 4. Rivas Viondi O. 26. Abascal R. 17. Lebedenko O. 16. Beni 20. Samu (C) 22. Blanco F. 23. Sousa D. 48. Saviolo N. 90. Ndoye A.
Substitutes
9. Abubakar U. 55. Ba I. 2. Garcia 23. Gil Dias 15. Mamageishvili O. 8. Pena M. 10. Rochinha 80. Santos P. 1. Zlobin I. (G)
18. Arcanjo T. 19. Camara O. 27. Charles Silva (G) 13. Mendes J. II. 6. Mitrovic M. 3. Nobrega M. 88. Nogueira M. 7. Oliveira N. 66. Strata T.
Coaches
Oliveira H.
Pinto L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Sorriso 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, De Amorim M. ⚽, Pinheiro R. (A),
45+1', Blanco F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Blanco F. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
57', Saviolo N. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
57', Samu ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
61', Sousa D. 🟨,
67', Joujou A. ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
75', Maga ↓, Strata T. ↑,
79', Ndoye A. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
81', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
88', Sa G. ↓, Ba I. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 0, Sorriso ⚽, Gil Dias (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 1.
Famalicão has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guimarães is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Famalicão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Famalicão is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Pastor G.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo
(Injury)
There are questionable in Famalicão: Beney R.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:29. (average 1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.7:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Famalicão - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.29%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Finland
France
Portugal
South-america
Ukraine
Usa
Venezuela
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Carevic L. (G) 
Pinheiro R. 
Realpe L. 
De Haas J. 
Joujou A. 
Sorriso 
Castillo J. (G) 
Rivas Viondi O. 
Abascal R. 
Lebedenko O. 
Beni 
Saviolo N. 
Ndoye A. 
Abubakar U. 
Mamageishvili O. 
Zlobin I. (G) 
Arcanjo T. 
Mitrovic M. 
Strata T. 
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