Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Fano		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.45
	3	2.85	2.35
	2.85	3.2	2.25
	2.9	2.75	2.45
	3.01	3.1	2.48
	3.1	2.9	2.45
	2.94	3	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (2.98)	2.97 ↑ (2.97)	2.41 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
31.1%

Draw
30.8%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

30.5%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fano - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Fano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Südtirol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Südtirol will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Südtirol to win the game is with odds 2.17.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fano won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 0-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Fano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.20	Ravenna - Fano	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Fano - Mantova	1:2 ✺
21.10.20	Cesena - Fano	3:0 ✺
18.10.20	Fano - Imolese	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Fano - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
21.10.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carpi	3:0 ✺
17.10.20	FeralpiSalò - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
11.10.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fano	2:0
29.09.19	Fano - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2
22.01.19	Fano - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:3
26.09.18	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fano	0:0
08.04.18	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fano	2:0
19.11.17	Fano - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
23.12.16	Fano - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0

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