Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio de São Luís (Faro)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)


	Farense		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.17	3.43	3.42
	2.34	3.32	2.98	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.15	3.26	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.06)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	3.24 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
42.9%

Draw
28.5%

Sporting Lisbon B
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.1%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

24.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Farense - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sporting B will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Araujo B. (G) 78. Alex Pinto 26. Ruben 4. Alysson 6. Derick Poloni 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 80. Ndiaye A. 17. Candeias A. 20. Semedo Y. 34. Herrero T. 19. Oliveira L.	41. Diego Callai (G) 50. Dias R. 49. Romulus 43. Muniz J. 45. Moreira D. (C) 60. Rayan Lucas 96. Justo S. 78. Couto M. 83. Bafdili Z. 87. Cardoso P. 67. Anjos L.
Substitutes
10. Almeida B. 22. Carvalho M. (G) 7. Costa R. 43. Dario Miranda 21. Jaiminho 77. Matias M. 8. Menino M. 14. Poveda D. 90. Sangare B.	77. Besugo R. 68. Costa D. 73. Felicissimo E. 59. Kaua Oliveira 88. Mendonca M. 85. Mota R. 99. Silva F. (G) 82. Silva G. 40. Tanlongo M.
Coaches
Jose Faria	Joao Giao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Oliveira L. ⚽, Derick Poloni (A),
24', Alysson ↓, Menino M. ↑,
36', Muniz J. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Derick Poloni ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Muniz J. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
58', Semedo Y. 🟨,
65', Ndiaye A. ↓, Almeida B. ↑,
65', Oliveira L. ↓, Sangare B. ↑,
71', Cardoso P. ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
71', Rayan Lucas ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
71', Bafdili Z. ↓, Besugo R. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Justo S. ⚽,
75', Semedo Y. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
76', Candeias A. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
81', Justo S. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
87', Felicissimo E. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 2.

In recent matches, Farense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting B is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Farense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Farense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 2.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sporting CP B	6	4	0	2	8:6	2	12
4	SC Farense	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
04.04.26	Farense - Feirense	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Benfica B - Farense	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Farense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Penafiel - Farense	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Farense - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTW
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2
04.04.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Feirense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Chaves	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Farense	3:1
23.01.16	Farense - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0
22.08.15	Sporting Lisbon B - Farense	1:0
25.01.15	Sporting Lisbon B - Farense	5:3
10.08.14	Farense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0
13.04.14	Sporting Lisbon B - Farense	3:3
27.11.13	Farense - Sporting Lisbon B	4:1

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