The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon B 46.4%
Draw 27.8%
Penafiel 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
28.8%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
27.8%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Sporting Lisbon B - Penafiel Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Diego Callai (G) 50. Dias R. 54. Bruno Ramos 43. Muniz J. 45. Moreira D. (C) 60. Rayan Lucas 96. Justo S. 78. Couto M. 83. Bafdili Z. 87. Cardoso P. 67. Anjos L.
32. Femenias J. (G) 27. Negrao G. 3. Mere J. 4. Miguel J. (C) 2. lano Imbene 21. Pedro Sa 8. Reko 7. Anzai S. 37. Davo 75. Alloh T. 95. Sery J.
Substitutes
68. Costa D. 73. Felicissimo E. 59. Kaua Oliveira 75. Kissanga M. 88. Mendonca M. 49. Romulus 99. Silva F. (G) 82. Silva G. 40. Tanlongo M.
19. Alcaina R. 18. Escario J. 61. Injai M. 17. Kebe I. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 9. Rodrigues D. 20. Santos A. 28. Schutte R. 34. Ze Leite
Coaches
Joao Giao
Aira J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Pedro Sa 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Cardoso P. ⚽,
22', Alloh T. 🟨,
25', Bruno Ramos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Negrao G. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
63', Bafdili Z. ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
64', Davo ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
64', Sery J. ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
70', Mere J. 🟨,
72', Rayan Lucas ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
72', Dias R. ↓, Costa D. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Santos A. ⚽, Ze Leite (A),
80', Cardoso P. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
80', Anjos L. ↓, Tanlongo M. ↑,
82', Diego Callai 🟨,
90', lano Imbene ↓, Injai M. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 2, Reko (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Reko 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 0.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Sporting B could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.4:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
Portugal
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Diego Callai (G) 
Dias R. 
Moreira D. (C) 
Bafdili Z. 
Femenias J. (G) 
lano Imbene 
Anzai S. 
Alloh T. 
Kissanga M. 
Tanlongo M. 
Kebe I. 
