Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Complexo Desportivo Prof. Jose Sousa Gomes - Campo 2 (Fazendas de Almeirim) 🌤️ ...


	Fazendense		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	17	9.5	1.09
	18.00	8.25	1.10
	24	8	1.07
	14.96	8.18	1.1
	18.5	7.5	1.11
	14	7.1	1.07
	25	7.5	1.1
	24	9.2	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	19.43 ↑ (10.37)	8.15 ↑ (6.51)	1.09 ↓ (1.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fazendense
4.7%

Draw
11.2%

Estrela da Amadora
84%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

8.8%

14.1%

77.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fazendense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Amadora's recent form is better than expected.

Fazendense - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Cotovio A. (G) . Coutinho S. . Dias R. . Fernandes A. . Gomez T. . Lopes J. . Magalhaes I. . Moreira J. . Moura L. . Pires M. . Ze T.	. Pinto D. (G) . Alisson Souza . Antonetti L. . Bernardo Schappo . Encada J. . Joan Jordan . Luan Patrick . Mincarelli L. . Moustier T. . Serra S. . Stoica I.
Substitutes
. Alves I. . Amoroso G. (G) . Bacalhau C. F. T. D. A. . Barbosa G. . Costa D. . Tiago M. . VIntoniv E.	. Lekovic S. . Leo Linck (G) . Marcus A. . Poniewas H. . Rafa Soares . Scholze M. . Souza B. . Zvonarek L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', Alisson Souza ↓, Souza B. ↑,
64', Stoica I. ↓, Marcus A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Moustier T. ⚽,
70', Pires M. ↓, Bacalhau C. F. T. D. A. ↑,
77', Joan Jordan ↓, Zvonarek L. ↑,
77', Antonetti L. ↓, Poniewas H. ↑,
78', Moustier T. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Magalhaes I. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Moustier T. ⚽,
87', Encada J. ↓, Scholze M. ↑,
87', Gomez T. ↓, Barbosa G. ↑,
87', Fernandes A. ↓, Costa D. ↑,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Estrela has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Estrela as the clear and undisputed favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Fazendense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.10.26	Atlético da Malveira - Fazendense	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Alverca B - Fazendense	5:0 ✺
13.09.26	Fazendense - Elvas	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Fazendense - Moçarriense	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Fazendense - Mirandela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
11.10.26	Arouca - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	3:3 ✺
10.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Braga	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
31.10.26	Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora	✺

Fazendense - Estrela da Amadora