Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Fenerbahçe		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	8
	1.3	5.25	8
	1.3	5.5	9	Watch
	1.31	5.68	9.72
	1.32	5.68	9.72
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.29	5.65	9.1
	1.34	5.6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)	5.55 ↑ (5.03)	8.73 ↑ (7.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
72.2%

Draw
17%

Ludogorets Razgrad
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

18.5%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

18%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.2%	0%	8.8%

Fenerbahçe - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Egribayat I. C. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 50. Rodrigo Becao 6. Djiku A. 24. Oosterwolde J. 35. Fred 27. Crespo M. 26. Zajc M. 11. Kent R. 23. Batshuayi M. 10. Tadic D. (C)	12. Sluga S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 26. Sundberg N. 24. Verdon O. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 30. Pedro Naressi 6. Piotrowski J. 8. Goncalves C. 77. Caio Vidal 99. Rwan Seco 37. Tekpetey B.
Substitutes
95. Akcicek Y. 67. Demir M. (G) 9. Dzeko E. 49. Imre M. 7. Kadioglu F. 17. Kahveci I. C. 92. Karayazi E. 40. Livakovic D. (G) 22. Nayir U. 53. Szymanski S. 20. Under C. 5. Yuksek I.	11. Chouiar M. 90. Delev S. 9. Duah K. 88. Nedelev T. 1. Padt S. (G) 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 22. Russo F. 17. Son 5. Terziev G. 10. Tissera M. 64. Yankov D.
Coaches
Kartal I.	Dermendzhiev G.

Preview

Fenerbahçe in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Ludogorets is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fenerbahçe is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Aziz S. (Ankle Injury) King J. (Muscle Injury) Lincoln (Knee Injury) Luan Peres (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ludogorets: Almeida D. (Knee Injury) Gropper D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Mor E. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
22.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	4:2 ✺
08.10.23	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Spartak Trnava - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	5:0 ✺
28.09.23	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.10.23	Arda Kardzhali - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Pirin Blagoevgrad	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Nordsjælland - Ludogorets Razgrad	7:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.10.23	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
27.09.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWT

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