Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Right to Dream Park (Farum) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Nordsjælland		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.25
	1.61	3.9	4.6
	1.62	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.63	4	4.75
	1.64	4.24	5.22
	1.63	4.1	4.9
	1.64	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.92)	4.09 ↑ (3.73)	4.95 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordsjælland
57.9%

Draw
23%

Ludogorets Razgrad
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordsjælland's performance.

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludogorets Razgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordsjælland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludogorets Razgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.6%	4.1%	16.3%

Nordsjælland - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: Nordsjælland will win (39 of 49 users predict this - 79.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.3% – 90.88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hansen A. (G) 23. Villadsen O. 4. Hansen K. (C) 39. Nagalo A. 5. Frese M. 29. Dorgeles M. 6. Tverskov J. 27. Svensson D. 14. Osman I. 7. Ingvartsen M. 9. Nygren B.	1. Padt S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 26. Sundberg N. 24. Verdon O. 17. Son 6. Piotrowski J. 11. Chouiar M. 8. Goncalves C. 77. Caio Vidal 99. Rwan Seco 37. Tekpetey B. (C)
Substitutes
12. Ascone R. 42. Barslund K. 10. Diomande M. 25. Eriksson C. (G) 11. Hansen M. 19. Hey L. 30. Jensen-Abbew J. 15. Marxen E. 17. Rasmussen Theodor C. K. 40. Schandorf C. H. W. 8. Schjelderup A. 21. Sertdemir Z.	90. Delev S. 88. Nedelev T. 30. Pedro Naressi 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 22. Russo F. 12. Sluga S. (G) 5. Terziev G. 10. Tissera M. 64. Yankov D. 82. Yordanov I.
Coaches
Thorup J.	Petev I.

Preview

Recent matches Nordsjælland is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ludogorets is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nordsjælland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nordsjælland is a favorite.

There will not play in Nordsjælland: Antman O. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Ludogorets: Almeida D. (Knee Injury) Duah K. (Ankle Injury) Gropper D. (Knee Injury) Nedyalkov A. (Surgery)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
01.10.23	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Nordsjælland	0:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
28.09.23	Kolding IF - Nordsjælland	2:3 penalties ✺
Danish Superliga
25.09.23	Nordsjælland - Hvidovre	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Fenerbahçe - Nordsjælland	3:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
16.09.23	Nordsjælland - Copenhagen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWTLT
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.10.23	Levski Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
27.09.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Trnava	4:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.09.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
25.10.26	Silkeborg IF - Nordsjælland	✺
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.10.26	CSKA Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	✺

Nordsjælland - Ludogorets Razgrad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide