Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul)

Referee: Kehlet J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fenerbahçe		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.6
	2.6	3.6	2.65
	2.63	3.56	2.67
	2.63	3.64	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.2)	3.58 ↓ (3.67)	2.67 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
36.9%

Draw
27%

Stuttgart
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

25.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stuttgart's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stuttgart, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.8%	16.7%	30.6%

Fenerbahçe - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 36.5% – 69.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Stuttgart (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Stuttgart (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Stuttgart (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 3. Brown A. 11. Alvarez E. 5. Yuksek I. 21. Asensio M. 45. Nene D. 19. En Nesyri Y. 9. Akturkoglu K.	33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 14. Jaquez L. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 27. Bouanani B. 8. Tomas T. 7. Mittelstadt M. 11. El Khannouss B.
Substitutes
70. Aydin O. 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 10. Duran J. 1. Egribayat I. (G) 7. Fred 18. Muldur M. 4. Soyuncu C. 53. Szymanski S. 94. Talisca	30. Andres C. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 44. Hellstern F. (G) 29. Jeltsch F. 45. Jovanovic L. 18. Leweling J. 28. Nartey N. 26. Undav D. 4. Vagnoman J. 23. Zagadou D.
Coaches
Tedesco D.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
27', Alvarez E. 🟨,
32', Stiller A. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. (Pen),
36', Tedesco D. 🟨,
45+4', Semedo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Bouanani B. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
77', Karazor A. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
77', Hendriks R. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
80', Nene D. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
82', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
82', Asensio M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
85', Skriniar M. 🟨,
86', Tomas T. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
86', Jaquez L. ↓, Jeltsch F. ↑,
87', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
87', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Talisca ↑,
89', Duran J. 🟨,
90+8', Yuksek I. 🟨,
90+8', Undav D. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Duran J. (Injury) Elmaz B. (Inactive) Fall A. (Inactive) Kahveci I. C. (Ankle Injury) Mercan L. (Inactive) Mor E. (Inactive) Rodrigo Becao (Inactive) Yandas M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Inactive) Darvich N. (Inactive) Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Drljaca S. (Injury) Keitel Y. (Inactive) Silas (Ankle Injury) Stenzel P. (Inactive) Stergiou L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Leweling J. (Groin Injury) Tomas T. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
19.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Nice	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Fenerbahçe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWWL
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Basel - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.25	Köln - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

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