Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
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International	Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.68	3.55	2.52	Watch
	2.98	3.6	2.41
	10.65	4.37	1.35	Watch
	2.74	3.78	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (2.63)	3.78 ↑ (3.62)	2.3 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
24.8%

Draw
28.4%

Stuttgart
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

26.2%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolfsburg's form might have worsened.

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stuttgart's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stuttgart, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	24.2%	48.5%

Wolfsburg - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 16 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Wolfsburg (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Stuttgart (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Wolfsburg (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Stuttgart (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 2. Fischer K. 15. Jenz M. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Maehle J. 5. Vini Souza 24. Eriksen C. 11. Daghim A. 32. Svanberg M. (C) 25. Zehnter A. 23. Wind J.	33. Nubel A. (G) 14. Jaquez L. 24. Chabot J. (C) 3. Hendriks R. 22. Assignon L. 30. Andres C. 6. Stiller A. 7. Mittelstadt M. 11. El Khannouss B. 28. Nartey N. 8. Tomas T.
Substitutes
9. Amoura M. 27. Arnold M. 8. Dardai B. 26. Kumbedi S. 10. Majer L. 29. Muller M. (G) 17. Pejcinovic D. 14. Seelt J. 7. Skov Olsen A.	2. Al Dakhil A. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 29. Jeltsch F. 45. Jovanovic L. 16. Karazor A. 26. Undav D. 4. Vagnoman J.
Coaches
Simonis P.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Mittelstadt M. 🟨,
20', Jenz M. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Tomas T. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Mittelstadt M. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
67', Maehle J. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
67', Fischer K. ↓, Kumbedi S. ↑,
67', Nartey N. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
69', Svanberg M. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
77', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
78', Tomas T. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
78', Eriksen C. ↓, Amoura M. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Stiller A. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
85', El Khannouss B. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
86', Stiller A. ↓, Karazor A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.

Wolfsburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stuttgart is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury) Wimmer P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Drljaca S. (Injury) Leweling J. (Groin Injury) Zagadou D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Arnold M. (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:26. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Wolfsburg - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
04.10.25	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Wolfsburg - Köln	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Wolfsburg - Mainz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
05.10.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Basel - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.25	Köln - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.25	Stuttgart - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
15.02.25	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	1:2
28.09.24	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	2:2
02.03.24	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	2:3
07.10.23	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	3:1
18.03.23	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	0:1
01.10.22	Wolfsburg - Stuttgart	3:2
30.04.22	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	1:1

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